METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night 2
Las Vegas, USA
3 Oct 2005
Welterweight
VS
92%
Goulet
8%
Hieron
Win Probability
JG
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Jonathan GouletwinsR3 · 1:05
def. Jay Hieron · UFC Fight Night 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Goulet
→
Actual result
Goulet wins
Pre-fight analysis
Goulet is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Goulet has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Risk flags
Goulet's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hieron has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GouletHieron
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Goulet
Hieron
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
73"
Reach
+75"
47+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Goulet
Hieron
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.6
1.5
41.6
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
Goulet
Hieron
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.9
Style: Volume
0.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Goulet
Hieron
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Goulet
Hieron
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
52
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
4/30 fights
Goulet
Hieron
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · R3
L · KO · R1
Goulet
Hieron
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Goulet
Hieron
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
GouletHieron
Strike Zones
Goulet
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedHieron
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Goulet targets the head (50% of attacks) — Hieron absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Hieron targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Goulet absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Goulet
RND
Hieron
0/0R00/0
Goulet · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Marcus DavisKO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Mike SwickKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night - Fight for the Troops · 2008-12
W · KO · R2
Kuniyoshi HironakaKO/TKO
UFC 83: Serra vs St-Pierre 2 · 2008-04
W · Sub · R1
Paul GeorgieffSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Hughes vs. Team Serra Finale · 2007-12
L · Sub · R1
Dustin HazelettSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
Hieron · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyKO/TKO
UFC 156: Aldo vs Edgar · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerDecision
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot · 2012-10
L · R3
Jonathan GouletUFC Fight Night 2 · 2005-10
L · KO · R1
Georges St-PierreKO/TKO
UFC 48: Payback · 2004-06