UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Featherweight
VS
56%
Jason
44%
Wilkinson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Jason
This is a genuine toss-up — Jason at 56% vs Wilkinson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Jason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.
Striking split: Wilkinson throws more volume but Jason connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Jason
Wilkinson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
66"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jason
Wilkinson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
17.7
60.4
Performance Avg
45.5
67
Quality of Victory
43
72
Momentum Score
55
Jason
Wilkinson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground3
Jason
Wilkinson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jason
Wilkinson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Jason
Wilkinson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jason
Wilkinson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jason
Wilkinson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
JasonWilkinson
Strike Zones
Jason
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedWilkinson
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jason targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wilkinson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Wilkinson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jason absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jason
RND
Wilkinson
0/0R00/0
Jason · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Wilkinson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Jason · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Upcoming
Damon JacksonUFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03
Wilkinson · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · KO · R1
Niklas BackstromRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Sub · R1
Rony JasonRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Brendan LoughnaneRating 4.5Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12