METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum
Fortaleza, Brazil
8 Jun 2013
Featherweight
VS
56%
Jason
44%
Wilkinson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:24
RJ
Rony Jason
14 – 7
5'7"73" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 23
MW
Mike Wilkinson
"The Warrior"
9 – 4
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'7"
CFR 18
★ Official Result
Rony JasonwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:24
def. Mike Wilkinson · UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jason
→
Actual result
Jason wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Jason at 56% vs Wilkinson at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Jason has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Wilkinson throws more volume but Jason connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
JasonWilkinson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jason
Wilkinson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
66"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jason
Wilkinson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.8
17.7
60.4
Performance Avg
45.5
67
Quality of Victory
43
72
Momentum Score
55
Jason
Wilkinson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance1
0Clinch0
5Ground3
Jason
Wilkinson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.6
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jason
Wilkinson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Jason
Wilkinson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Jason
Wilkinson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jason
Wilkinson
Striking6.0 / 6.0Volume3.0 / 5.0Grappling2.6 / 1.2Wrestling1.8 / 0.8Submission2.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Jason
Strike Zones
Wilkinson
Jason
Attacking
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Wilkinson
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD0BODY0LEGS7 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jason targets the head (100% of attacks) — Wilkinson absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Wilkinson targets the head (75% of attacks) — Jason absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jason
RND
Wilkinson
0/0R00/0

Jason · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.2W5.0W2.0L5.0W5.5L5.5L5.5L2012-062013-062014-032016-082017-03
WinLossTrend

Wilkinson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0104.5W1.5L5.0W5.6L2012-122013-062014-102016-02
WinLossTrend

Jason · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Jeremy KennedyRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Caceres · 2016-08
Upcoming
Damon Jackson
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Alves · 2015-05
L · Dec · R3
Robert PeraltaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
W · KO · R1
Steven SilerRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

Wilkinson · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Makwan AmirkhaniRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
W · KO · R1
Niklas BackstromRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
L · Sub · R1
Rony JasonRating 1.5
Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
W · Dec · R3
Brendan LoughnaneRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson · 2012-12

News & Media

Rony Jason · Mike Wilkinson
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