UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira
Brasilia, Brazil
14 Mar 2020
Lightweight
VS
58%
Moicano
42%
Hadzovic
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 0:44
Renato
Renato Moicano
21 – 7
5'11"72" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 50
Damir
Damir Hadzovic
"The Bosnian Bomber"
14 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 36

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Moicano

This is a genuine toss-up — Moicano at 58% vs Hadzovic at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Moicano has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moicano's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Hadzovic has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Moicano
Hadzovic
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
72"+
Reach
70"
37+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moicano
Hadzovic
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
35.9
51.7
Performance Avg
39.2
43
Quality of Victory
39
64
Momentum Score
20
Moicano
Hadzovic
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.3
50%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
0
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Moicano
Hadzovic
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
3.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moicano
Hadzovic
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
38
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
10/22 fights
Moicano
Hadzovic
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
20
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Moicano
Hadzovic
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
7
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moicano
Hadzovic
Striking2.1 / 5.8Volume3.8 / 4.8Grappling5.0 / 1.2Wrestling3.5 / 0.8Submission5.4 / 0.0Pressure6.3 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.8
Moicano
Strike Zones
Hadzovic
Moicano
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Hadzovic
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moicano targets the head (100% of attacks) — Hadzovic absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Hadzovic targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Moicano absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moicano
RND
Hadzovic
0/0R00/0

Moicano · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0105.2W5.0W5.0W5.4L5.0W5.5W3.2L2.0L5.0W2.5L6.0W6.1W5.7L5.0W5.7W6.5W5.9W3.5L6.5L6.4W2014-122018-082021-062024-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Hadzovic · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0101.5L5.5W5.5L4.5W5.2W5.7L2.3L4.5W5.6L3.0L2016-042018-072020-032025-02
WinLossTrend

Moicano · Last 5

W · Sub · R2
Chris DuncanRating 6.4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Beneil DariushRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
L · Sub · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · R2
Benoit Saint DenisRating 5.9
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Saint Denis · 2024-09
W · KO · R2
Jalin TurnerRating 6.5
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Hadzovic · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Marc DiakieseRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall · 2022-07
W · Dec · R3
Yancy MedeirosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov · 2021-06
L · Sub · R1
Renato MoicanoRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · Dec · R3
Christos GiagosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06

News & Media

Renato Moicano · Damir Hadzovic
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