UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura
Las Vegas, USA
16 Mar 2024
Featherweight
VS
41%
Culibao
59%
Silva
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Silva
This is a genuine toss-up — Culibao at 41% vs Silva at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Silva has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Culibao
Silva
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
73"+
Reach
69"
32
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Culibao
Silva
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
42.0
60.1
37.0
Performance Avg
51.0
33
Quality of Victory
35
75
Momentum Score
92
Culibao
Silva
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.8
46%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
12
7
Body
7
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
27Distance22
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Culibao
Silva
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Culibao
Silva
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
7 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/15 fights
Chin rating based on
4/13 fights
Culibao
Silva
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
92
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Culibao
Silva
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Culibao
Silva
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
CulibaoSilva
Strike Zones
Culibao
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedSilva
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Culibao targets the head (68% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 68% of strikes there
🎯Silva targets the head (52% of attacks) — Culibao absorbs 52% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Culibao
RND
Silva
0/0R00/0
Culibao · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Silva · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Culibao · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Ricardo RamosRating 5.6Decision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Danny SilvaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
W · Sub · R2
Melsik BaghdasaryanRating 5.8Submission
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
SeungWoo ChoiRating 4.7Decision
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
Silva · Last 4
W · KO · R2
Kurtis CampbellRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Evloev vs. Murphy · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin VallejosRating 7.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Lucas AlmeidaRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Josh CulibaoRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03