UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan
Las Vegas, USA
4 Apr 2026
Featherweight
VS
95%
McMillen
5%
Zecchini
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:57
Tommy
Tommy McMillen
"Gun"
10 – 0
6'0"74" reachOrthodox28 yrsKnockout Artist
CFR 83
Manolo
Manolo Zecchini
"Angelo Veneziano"
11 – 5
Well-Rounded2-fight slide29 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 5

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: McMillen

McMillen is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 78 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

McMillen has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 60 points.

McMillen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Zecchini has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.

McMillen
Zecchini
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
68"
28+
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McMillen
Zecchini
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
82.8
4.5
76.0
Performance Avg
0.0
60
Quality of Victory
0
100
Momentum Score
0
McMillen
Zecchini
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
29.6
5.8
55%
Strike Accuracy
28%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
51
Head
14
23
Body
6
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
62Distance19
9Clinch1
3Ground0
McMillen
Zecchini
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
McMillen
Zecchini
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
100
56
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/10 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
McMillen
Zecchini
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
McMillen
Zecchini
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

McMillen
Zecchini
Striking10.0 / 0.0Volume2.0 / 0.0Grappling0.0 / 0.0Wrestling0.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure10.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
10.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
McMillen
Strike Zones
Zecchini
McMillen
Attacking
51HEAD23BODY0LEGS74 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD6BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Zecchini
Attacking
14HEAD6BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
51HEAD23BODY0LEGS74 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯McMillen targets the head (69% of attacks) — Zecchini absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Zecchini targets the head (70% of attacks) — McMillen absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

McMillen
RND
Zecchini
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Zecchini · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.3
0102.7L3.9L2023-092026-04
WinLossTrend

McMillen · Last 1

W · KO · R1
Manolo ZecchiniRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04

Zecchini · Last 2

L · KO · R1
Tommy McMillenRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Morgan CharriereRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac · 2023-09

News & Media

Tommy McMillen · Manolo Zecchini
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