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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Welterweight
VS
48%
MacDonald
52%
Pyle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:54
RM
Rory MacDonald
"Red King"
194
6'0"76" reachOrthodox37 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MP
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
2714
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Rory MacDonaldwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:54
def. Mike Pyle · UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pyle
Actual result
MacDonald wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 48% vs Pyle at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pyle has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldPyle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
MacDonald
Pyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
37+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Pyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
19.5
51.3
Performance Avg
47.8
39
Quality of Victory
45
61
Momentum Score
100
MacDonald
Pyle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.7
/ 10
6.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
6.5
5.8
Style: Volume
3.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
1
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance1
1Clinch2
19Ground0
MacDonald
Pyle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
1.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
1.1
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
MacDonald
Pyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/41 fights
MacDonald
Pyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
MacDonald
Pyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
70%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

MacDonald
Pyle
Striking4.7 / 6.0Volume5.8 / 3.5Grappling2.2 / 2.3Wrestling1.6 / 1.6Submission1.1 / 2.0Pressure5.2 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
MacDonald
Strike Zones
Pyle
MacDonald
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Pyle
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (88% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Pyle targets the legs (67% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

MacDonald
RND
Pyle
0/0R00/0

MacDonald · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Stephen Thompson
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie Lawler
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec Saffiedine
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron Woodley
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian Maia
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02

Pyle · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Zak Ottow
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex Garcia
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto Mina
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean Spencer
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby Covington
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

News & Media

Rory MacDonald · Mike Pyle
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