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UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
Philadelphia, USA
6 Aug 2011
Welterweight
VS
48%
MacDonald
52%
Pyle
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:54
RM
Rory MacDonald
"Red King"
194
6'0"76" reachOrthodox36 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MP
Mike Pyle
"Quicksand"
2714
Well-Rounded3-fight slide50 yrsOrthodox74" reach6'0"
CFR 20
★ Official Result
Rory MacDonaldwinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:54
def. Mike Pyle · UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Pyle
Actual result
MacDonald wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — MacDonald at 48% vs Pyle at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Pyle has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

MacDonald's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Pyle has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MacDonaldPyle
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
MacDonald
Pyle
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
6'0"
76"+
Reach
74"
36+
Age
50
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
MacDonald
Pyle
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.1
19.5
51.3
Performance Avg
47.8
39
Quality of Victory
45
61
Momentum Score
100
MacDonald
Pyle
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
1.4
45%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
1
0
Body
0
3
Leg
2
RangeRange
4Distance1
1Clinch2
19Ground0
MacDonald
Pyle
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.3
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
MacDonald
Pyle
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
7
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R4.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
13/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/41 fights
MacDonald
Pyle
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
61
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
MacDonald
Pyle
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
70%
3
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

MacDonald
Pyle
Striking4.7 / 6.0Volume5.8 / 3.5Grappling2.2 / 2.3Wrestling1.6 / 1.6Submission1.1 / 2.0Pressure5.2 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.3
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
1.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
MacDonald
Strike Zones
Pyle
MacDonald
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY3LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 absorbed
Pyle
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY2LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY3LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯MacDonald targets the head (88% of attacks) — Pyle absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Pyle targets the legs (67% of attacks) — MacDonald absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

MacDonald
RND
Pyle
0/0R00/0

MacDonald · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.0W4.0L4.5W5.0W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.8L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.3L6.1L2010-012012-042014-022016-06
WinLossTrend

Pyle · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.8
0101.5L5.5W2.8L5.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.0W4.5W1.9L5.5W1.5L6.8L5.5W2.8L1.5L1.5L2009-052011-032013-052016-022018-03
WinLossTrend

MacDonald · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · KO · R5
Robbie LawlerRating 4.3
KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Demian MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02

Pyle · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Zak OttowRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R1
Alex GarciaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · KO · R2
Alberto MinaRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez · 2016-07
W · KO · R3
Sean SpencerRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05

News & Media

Rory MacDonald · Mike Pyle
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