UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens
Mexico City, Mexico
21 Sept 2019
Women's Bantamweight
VS
47%
Eubanks
53%
Correia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Correia
This is a genuine toss-up — Eubanks at 47% vs Correia at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Eubanks throws more volume but Correia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Correia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Eubanks
Correia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
+5'5"
67"+
Reach
64"
41+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Eubanks
Correia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.4
25.0
39.2
Performance Avg
36.8
32
Quality of Victory
31
45
Momentum Score
88
Eubanks
Correia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.7
45%
Strike Accuracy
46%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
18
3
Body
3
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
19Distance22
6Clinch2
0Ground0
Eubanks
Correia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Eubanks
Correia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/15 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Eubanks
Correia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
88
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Eubanks
Correia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
20%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Eubanks
Correia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
7.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
EubanksCorreia
Strike Zones
Eubanks
Attacking
25 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedCorreia
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
25 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Eubanks targets the head (84% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 84% of strikes there
🎯Correia targets the head (75% of attacks) — Eubanks absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Eubanks
RND
Correia
0/0R00/0
Eubanks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Correia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Eubanks · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Melissa GattoRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
W · KO · R1
Elise ReedRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Neal · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Ketlen VieiraRating 5.9Decision
UFC 253: Adesanya vs. Costa · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Julia AvilaRating 5.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06