UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Lightweight
VS
41%
Burns
59%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:15
Gilbert
Gilbert Burns
"Durinho"
22 – 10
5'10"71" reachOrthodox39 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Mike
Mike Davis
"Beast Boy"
12 – 3
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 57

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Davis

This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 41% vs Davis at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burns
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
39
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
57.4
48.1
Performance Avg
53.1
40
Quality of Victory
41
28
Momentum Score
65
Burns
Davis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.6
49%
Strike Accuracy
56%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.4
3 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Burns
Davis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
3.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
2.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Burns
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
86
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
7/15 fights
Burns
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
65
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Burns
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Burns
Davis
Striking3.2 / 5.4Volume4.9 / 4.6Grappling3.8 / 2.6Wrestling2.6 / 1.8Submission3.3 / 2.0Pressure5.5 / 6.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.4
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.3
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
Burns
Strike Zones
Davis
Burns
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 absorbed
Davis
Attacking
0HEAD0BODY1LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the head (89% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Burns
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0

Burns · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.2W5.5W5.5L5.0W5.5L5.2W5.2W2.4L4.5W6.4W4.5W5.6W5.0W4.5W3.9L5.1W7.4L5.6W4.5W6.6L5.5L6.6L3.6L4.5L2014-072018-042020-052024-032026-04
WinLossTrend

Davis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0103.0L5.5W5.5W5.0W5.2W6.7L5.2W2019-042021-012024-032025-07
WinLossTrend

Burns · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike MalottRating 4.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05

Davis · Last 5

W · KO · R2
Mitch RamirezRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Natan LevyRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Magny · 2021-01

News & Media

Gilbert Burns · Mike Davis
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