METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Lightweight
VS
42%
Burns
58%
Davis
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:15
★ Official Result
Gilbert BurnswinsSubmissionR2 · 4:15
def. Mike Davis · UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Burns wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Burns at 42% vs Davis at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Burns's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
BurnsDavis
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Burns
Davis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
71"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Burns
Davis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.8
55.2
48.1
Performance Avg
49.5
40
Quality of Victory
41
28
Momentum Score
65
Burns
Davis
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
5.3
/ 10
5.5
Style: Pressure
6.1
4.9
Style: Volume
4.5
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
0
0
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
4Distance1
0Clinch0
14Ground0
Burns
Davis
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.8
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
2.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
5
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Burns
Davis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
84
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
5
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.2 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/32 fights
Chin rating based on
8/15 fights
Burns
Davis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
65
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Burns
Davis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
60%
3
KO / TKO Wins
2
5
Submission Wins
1
7
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Burns
Davis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.3
3.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
2.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.1
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
BurnsDavis
Strike Zones
Burns
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedDavis
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Burns targets the head (89% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Davis targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Burns absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Burns
RND
Davis
0/0R00/0
Burns · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike MalottKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R5
Sean BradyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R3
Jack Della MaddalenaKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
Davis · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nurullo AlievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · KO · R2
Mitch RamirezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
W · Sub · R2
Natan LevySubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Viacheslav BorshchevDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10