UFC Fight Night 1
Las Vegas, USA
6 Aug 2005
Welterweight
VS
48%
Florian
52%
Karalexis
Win Probability
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Karalexis
This is a genuine toss-up — Florian at 48% vs Karalexis at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Karalexis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Florian has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Florian's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Florian
Karalexis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
74"+
Reach
66"
49
Age
+48
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Florian
Karalexis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
18.9
55.4
Performance Avg
49.3
45
Quality of Victory
60
28
Momentum Score
35
Florian
Karalexis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
0.7
46%
Strike Accuracy
32%
3.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
6
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
4Clinch4
0Ground0
Florian
Karalexis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
3.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
5.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
7
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Florian
Karalexis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
86
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
16 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/20 fights
Chin rating based on
3/16 fights
Florian
Karalexis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
28
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · R2
W · KO · R1
Florian
Karalexis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Florian
Karalexis
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
FlorianKaralexis
Strike Zones
Florian
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
7 absorbedKaralexis
Attacking
7 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Florian targets the head (80% of attacks) — Karalexis absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Karalexis targets the head (86% of attacks) — Florian absorbs 86% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Florian
RND
Karalexis
0/0R00/0
Florian · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Karalexis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Florian · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jose AldoRating 6Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · Dec · R3
Diego NunesRating 4.5Decision
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin · 2011-06
L · Dec · R3
Gray MaynardRating 5.5Decision
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · Sub · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
W · Sub · R2
Clay GuidaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 107: Penn vs Sanchez · 2009-12
Karalexis · Last 3
L · Sub · R3
Jason Von FlueRating 4Submission
UFC Fight Night 3 · 2006-01
L · R2
Kenny FlorianRating 4.8UFC Fight Night 1 · 2005-08
W · KO · R1
Josh RaffertyRating 5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Couture vs. Team Liddell Finale · 2005-04