Malcolm Wellmaker vs Cameron Saaiman — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Kansas City, USA

26 Apr 2025

Bantamweight

54%

Wellmaker

46%

Saaiman

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:59

Malcolm Wellmaker

"The Machine"

10 – 2

5'10"71" reachSwitch32 yrs2-fight slideKnockout Artist

CFR 64

Cameron Saaiman

"MSP"

9 – 3

Striker3-fight slide25 yrsSouthpaw67" reach5'8"

CFR 54

★ Official Result

Malcolm WellmakerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:59

def. Cameron Saaiman · UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Wellmaker

→

Actual result

Wellmaker wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Wellmaker at 54% vs Saaiman at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Wellmaker has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Risk flags

Saaiman has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

WellmakerSaaiman

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Wellmaker

Saaiman

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'8"

71"+

Reach

67"

Age

+25

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

Wellmaker

Saaiman

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

63.7

54.3

56.0

Performance Avg

47.0

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Wellmaker

Saaiman

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

10.0

/ 10

7.7

/ 10

8.5

Style: Pressure

6.2

1.0

Style: Volume

3.7

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

6Distance9

0Clinch0

0Ground0

Wellmaker

Saaiman

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.0

/ 10

0.8

/ 10

0.0

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.6

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Wellmaker

Saaiman

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

2 consec. KOs

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.5 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

4/12 fights

Chin rating based on

6/12 fights

Wellmaker

Saaiman

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 📉 slide

L · Sub · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

L · KO · R1

L · KO · R2

L · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Wellmaker

Saaiman

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

67%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Wellmaker

Saaiman

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

10.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

7.7

0.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.8

0.0

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

8.5

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

6.2

1.0

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

3.7

Wellmaker

Strike Zones

Saaiman

Wellmaker

Attacking

6 landed

Absorbing

9 absorbed

Saaiman

Attacking

9 landed

Absorbing

6 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Wellmaker targets the body (67% of attacks) — Saaiman absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Saaiman targets the legs (78% of attacks) — Wellmaker absorbs 78% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Wellmaker

RND

Saaiman

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Wellmaker · Last 4

L · Sub · R2

Juan Diaz

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05

L · Dec · R3

Ethyn Ewing

Decision

UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11

W · KO · R1

Kris Moutinho

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

W · KO · R1

Cameron Saaiman

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

Saaiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1

Malcolm Wellmaker

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

L · KO · R2

Payton Talbott

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03

L · Dec · R3

Christian Rodriguez

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10

W · KO · R1

Terrence Mitchell

KO/TKO

UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

W · Dec · R3

Mana Martinez

Decision

UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03

News & Media

Malcolm Wellmaker · Cameron Saaiman

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