Zhalgas Zhumagulov vs Joshua Van — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria

Jacksonville, USA

24 Jun 2023

Flyweight

32%

Zhumagulov

68%

Van

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Zhalgas Zhumagulov

14 – 9

5'4"66" reachSwitch38 yrs4-fight slideSubmission Hunter

CFR 33

Joshua Van

"The Fearless"

17 – 2

Well-Rounded7-fight win streak24 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'5"

CFR 69

★ Official Result

Joshua VanwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Zhalgas Zhumagulov · UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Van

→

Actual result

Van wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

Van holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Zhumagulov has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Zhumagulov's chin rating of 68 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ZhumagulovVan

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Zhumagulov

Van

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'4"

Height

+5'5"

66"+

Reach

65"

Age

+24

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

Zhumagulov

Van

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

33.0

68.6

38.1

Performance Avg

63.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Zhumagulov

Van

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.3

/ 10

5.8

/ 10

7.4

Style: Pressure

5.5

0.3

Style: Volume

6.6

0 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

4 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

38Distance43

1Clinch1

0Ground0

Zhumagulov

Van

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

8.0

/ 10

1.4

/ 10

5.6

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.0

10.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Zhumagulov

Van

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R3.0 stoppage

3 fights ago

Last KO loss

8 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

7/23 fights

Chin rating based on

12/19 fights

Zhumagulov

Van

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

7-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Sub · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

W · KO · R5

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

Zhumagulov

Van

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

100%

40%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Zhumagulov

Van

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

0.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

5.8

8.0

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

1.4

5.6

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.0

10.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.4

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

5.5

0.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.6

Zhumagulov

Strike Zones

Van

Zhumagulov

Attacking

39 landed

Absorbing

44 absorbed

Van

Attacking

44 landed

Absorbing

39 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Zhumagulov targets the legs (41% of attacks) — Van absorbs 41% of strikes there

🎯Van targets the head (70% of attacks) — Zhumagulov absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Zhumagulov

RND

Van

0/0R00/0

Zhumagulov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Joshua Van

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

L · Dec · R3

Charles Johnson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. Cutelaba · 2022-11

L · Dec · R3

Jeff Molina

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06

L · KO · R1

Manel Kape

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12

W · Sub · R1

Jerome Rivera

Submission

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07

Van · Last 5

Upcoming

Alexandre Pantoja

UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09

W · KO · R5

Tatsuro Taira

KO/TKO

UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05

W · KO · R1

Alexandre Pantoja

KO/TKO

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12

W · Dec · R3

Brandon Royval

Decision

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06

W · KO · R3

Bruno Silva

KO/TKO

UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06

News & Media

Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Joshua Van

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