UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik
Las Vegas, USA
8 Aug 2020
Middleweight
VS
44%
Pitolo
56%
Stewart
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:41
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stewart
This is a genuine toss-up — Pitolo at 44% vs Stewart at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Pitolo has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Pitolo has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pitolo's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stewart has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pitolo
Stewart
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+6'0"
75"+
Reach
74"
35
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pitolo
Stewart
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
26.9
39.7
Performance Avg
42.3
55
Quality of Victory
43
0
Momentum Score
68
Pitolo
Stewart
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
42%
10.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.8
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
9
4
Body
2
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
12Distance13
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Pitolo
Stewart
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pitolo
Stewart
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
46
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/22 fights
Chin rating based on
14/20 fights
Pitolo
Stewart
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
68
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Pitolo
Stewart
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
60%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pitolo
Stewart
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
10.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.8
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
7.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
0.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
PitoloStewart
Strike Zones
Pitolo
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedStewart
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pitolo targets the head (58% of attacks) — Stewart absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Stewart targets the head (69% of attacks) — Pitolo absorbs 69% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pitolo
RND
Stewart
0/0R00/0
Pitolo · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.0WinLossTrend
Stewart · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Pitolo · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dusko TodorovicRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo · 2021-12
L · Sub · R3
Julian MarquezRating 4.5Submission
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Impa KasanganayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
L · Sub · R1
Darren StewartRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08
W · KO · R2
Charles ByrdRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
Stewart · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Chikadze · 2021-08
L · Dec · R3
Eryk AndersRating 6.3Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
Upcoming
Eryk AndersUFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad · 2021-03
L · Dec · R3
Kevin HollandRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Woodley · 2020-09
W · Sub · R1
Maki PitoloRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Oleinik · 2020-08