UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier
Las Vegas, USA
23 May 2015
Welterweight
VS
58%
Kim
42%
Burkman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:13
DH
Dong Hyun Kim
"Stun Gun"
22 – 4
6'2"76" reachSouthpaw44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 20
JB
Joshua Burkman
"The People's Warrior"
28 – 16
Well-Rounded5-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'10"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Kim

This is a genuine toss-up — Kim at 58% vs Burkman at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Burkman throws more volume but Kim connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Kim's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Burkman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Kim
Burkman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
5'10"
76"+
Reach
72"
44+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Kim
Burkman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
14.3
52.3
Performance Avg
34.7
36
Quality of Victory
36
99
Momentum Score
80
Kim
Burkman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
0.9
47%
Strike Accuracy
43%
4.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance3
0Clinch5
0Ground0
Kim
Burkman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kim
Burkman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
5
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/26 fights
Chin rating based on
19/44 fights
Kim
Burkman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
99
80
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Kim
Burkman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
39%
33%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Kim
Burkman
Striking4.6 / 2.3Volume6.5 / 6.0Grappling2.1 / 2.9Wrestling1.5 / 2.0Submission0.8 / 1.7Pressure5.0 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Kim
Strike Zones
Burkman
Kim
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 absorbed
Burkman
Attacking
6HEAD2BODY0LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Kim targets the head (100% of attacks) — Burkman absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Burkman targets the head (75% of attacks) — Kim absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Kim
RND
Burkman
0/0R00/0

Kim · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5W4.9W4.5W4.5W4.5W1.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W5.2W1.5L5.5W5.0W4.5W6.8L2008-052011-072013-102016-122017-06
WinLossTrend

Burkman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0105.0W5.0W2.8L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L4.0L4.0L4.5W5.5L5.5L1.5L2.7L1.5L2005-112007-052015-052017-032018-02
WinLossTrend

Kim · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Colby CovingtonRating 6.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Tarec SaffiedineRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Dominic WatersRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Masvidal · 2015-11
W · Sub · R3
Joshua BurkmanRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 187: Johnson vs Cormier · 2015-05
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08

Burkman · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Alex MoronoRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R1
Drew DoberRating 2.7
KO/TKO
UFC 214: Cormier vs. Jones 2 · 2017-07
L · Sub · R1
Michel PrazeresRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs. Gastelum · 2017-03
L · Dec · R3
Zak OttowRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · 2016-10
L · Dec · R3
Paul FelderRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05

News & Media

Dong Hyun Kim · Joshua Burkman
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