UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Middleweight
VS
35%
Brunson
65%
Plessis
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:59
DB
Derek Brunson
"The One"
23 – 9
6'1"77" reachSouthpaw42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Dricus
Dricus Du Plessis
"Stillknocks"
23 – 3
Well-Rounded32 yrsSwitch76" reach6'1"
CFR 74

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Plessis

Plessis holds a meaningful edge at 65% per the CFR ratings — but Brunson has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Plessis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brunson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Brunson
Plessis
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
76"
42
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Brunson
Plessis
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
40.2
73.5
54.7
Performance Avg
65.6
47
Quality of Victory
49
72
Momentum Score
100
Brunson
Plessis
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
53%
6.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.2
7 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
49
9
Body
6
0
Leg
7
RangeRange
22Distance50
3Clinch1
0Ground11
Brunson
Plessis
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.6
1.4
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Brunson
Plessis
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
6
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/32 fights
Chin rating based on
10/26 fights
Brunson
Plessis
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R4
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
Brunson
Plessis
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
67%
7
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Brunson
Plessis
Striking6.3 / 6.2Volume4.2 / 4.5Grappling2.0 / 2.6Wrestling1.4 / 1.8Submission1.4 / 2.2Pressure6.5 / 7.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.2
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.2
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.5
Brunson
Strike Zones
Plessis
Brunson
Attacking
16HEAD9BODY0LEGS25 landed
Absorbing
49HEAD6BODY7LEGS62 absorbed
Plessis
Attacking
49HEAD6BODY7LEGS62 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD9BODY0LEGS25 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Brunson targets the head (64% of attacks) — Plessis absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Plessis targets the head (79% of attacks) — Brunson absorbs 79% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Brunson
RND
Plessis
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Brunson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W5.0W4.0L4.5W5.2W5.0W5.0W5.0W2.4L5.5L5.0W5.0W1.5L2.9L4.5W4.5W6.9W5.1W5.2W3.7L4.7L2012-122016-022018-012021-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Plessis · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.8
0105.0W5.5W4.5W5.5W5.5W6.2W5.6W6.8W5.6W7.4L2020-102022-122024-012025-08
WinLossTrend

Brunson · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dricus Du PlessisRating 4.7
KO/TKO
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · KO · R2
Jared CannonierRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · 2022-02
W · Sub · R3
Darren TillRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
W · Dec · R5
Kevin HollandRating 5.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Holland · 2021-03
W · KO · R3
Edmen ShahbazyanRating 6.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

Plessis · Last 5

L · Dec · R5
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4
Decision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Sub · R4
Israel AdesanyaRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R5
Sean StricklandRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
W · KO · R2
Robert WhittakerRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07

News & Media

Derek Brunson · Dricus Du Plessis
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