The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hitters Finale
Las Vegas, USA
30 Nov 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
48%
Kim
52%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Shevchenko
This is a genuine toss-up — Kim at 48% vs Shevchenko at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Kim throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Shevchenko has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kim
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'8"
72"+
Reach
67"
36+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Kim
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
25.4
27.8
33.0
Performance Avg
43.2
35
Quality of Victory
39
15
Momentum Score
73
Kim
Shevchenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.3
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
15
1
Body
8
4
Leg
4
RangeRange
10Distance14
2Clinch7
0Ground6
Kim
Shevchenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kim
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/16 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Kim
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
15
73
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Kim
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kim
Shevchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
3.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
KimShevchenko
Strike Zones
Kim
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
27 absorbedShevchenko
Attacking
27 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kim targets the head (58% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (56% of attacks) — Kim absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kim
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0
Kim · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Kim · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mandy BohmRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Joselyne EdwardsRating 6.9Decision
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2 · 2022-07
L · Dec · R3
Priscila CachoeiraRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Molly McCannRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Till · 2021-09
L · Dec · R3
Alexa GrassoRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Rakic · 2020-08
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05