UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson
Sunrise, USA
27 Apr 2019
Women's Strawweight
VS
93%
Hill
7%
Esquibel
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hill
Hill is a strong favourite at 93% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hill has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 31 points.
Hill has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hill's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hill
Esquibel
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'3"+
Height
5'1"
64"
Reach
64"
41
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hill
Esquibel
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.2
2.6
36.7
Performance Avg
0.0
31
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Hill
Esquibel
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
34%
1.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
26
Head
12
14
Body
2
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
36Distance13
5Clinch2
0Ground0
Hill
Esquibel
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hill
Esquibel
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
92
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/34 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Hill
Esquibel
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Hill
Esquibel
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
15%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hill
Esquibel
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
7.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HillEsquibel
Strike Zones
Hill
Attacking
41 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedEsquibel
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
41 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hill targets the head (63% of attacks) — Esquibel absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Esquibel targets the head (80% of attacks) — Hill absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hill
RND
Esquibel
0/0R00/0
Hill · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Esquibel · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Hill · Last 5
Upcoming
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L · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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Esquibel · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Hannah CifersRating 5.5Decision
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · 2019-08
L · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs. Hermansson · 2019-04
L · Dec · R3
Jessica AguilarRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · Dec · R3
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5.5Decision
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