UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto
Sacramento, USA
30 Aug 2014
Heavyweight
VS
6%
Potts
94%
Hamilton
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:17
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hamilton
Hamilton is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Hamilton has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 47 points.
Hamilton has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Potts's chin rating of 34 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hamilton has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Potts
Hamilton
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'5"
75"
Reach
+76"
48
Age
+46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Potts
Hamilton
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
1.0
16.2
0.0
Performance Avg
40.0
0
Quality of Victory
47
0
Momentum Score
72
Potts
Hamilton
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.2
2.1
27%
Strike Accuracy
63%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
0
1
Body
49
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch2
0Ground47
Potts
Hamilton
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.9
Sub Attempts / fight
—
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Potts
Hamilton
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
34
6
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/17 fights
Chin rating based on
10/24 fights
Potts
Hamilton
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
72
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
Potts
Hamilton
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Potts
Hamilton
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.3
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
PottsHamilton
Strike Zones
Potts
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedHamilton
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Potts targets the head (33% of attacks) — Hamilton absorbs 33% of strikes there
🎯Hamilton targets the body (96% of attacks) — Potts absorbs 96% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Potts
RND
Hamilton
0/0R00/0
Potts · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.8WinLossTrend
Hamilton · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.4WinLossTrend
Potts · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Derrick LewisRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R2
Anthony HamiltonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
L · KO · R1
Soa PaleleiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
Hamilton · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Adam WieczorekRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · 2017-11
L · KO · R1
Daniel SpitzRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · KO · R1
Marcel FortunaRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · 2017-02
L · Sub · R1
Francis NgannouRating 1.9Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12
W · KO · R1
Damian GrabowskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 201: Lawler vs. Woodley · 2016-07