UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates
Las Vegas, USA
9 Nov 2024
Women's Strawweight
VS
38%
Pinheiro
62%
Robertson
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Robertson
Robertson holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Pinheiro has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Robertson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Robertson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Pinheiro's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Robertson has a chin rating of 58 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Pinheiro
Robertson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'2"
Height
+5'5"
62"
Reach
+63"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Pinheiro
Robertson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
35.6
59.1
33.1
Performance Avg
55.0
27
Quality of Victory
45
49
Momentum Score
74
Pinheiro
Robertson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.2
41%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
16
0
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Pinheiro
Robertson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.7
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Pinheiro
Robertson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
58
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/16 fights
Chin rating based on
20/25 fights
Pinheiro
Robertson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
49
74
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Pinheiro
Robertson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
71%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Pinheiro
Robertson
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.7
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
PinheiroRobertson
Strike Zones
Pinheiro
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedRobertson
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Pinheiro targets the head (67% of attacks) — Robertson absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Robertson targets the head (94% of attacks) — Pinheiro absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Pinheiro
RND
Robertson
0/0R00/0
Pinheiro · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Robertson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Pinheiro · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
L · Dec · R3
Gillian RobertsonRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · Sub · R2
Angela HillRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
L · KO · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · 2023-04
Robertson · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Amanda LemosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Vallejos · 2026-03
W · KO · R2
Marina RodriguezRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Luana PinheiroRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Michelle Waterson-GomezRating 4.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Polyana VianaRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01