The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2009
Light Heavyweight
VS
86%
Stann
14%
Wallace
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stann
Stann is a strong favourite at 86% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stann has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 45 points.
Striking split: Stann throws more volume but Wallace connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Stann's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stann
Wallace
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
45
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
Stann
Wallace
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
2.6
48.8
Performance Avg
0.0
45
Quality of Victory
0
35
Momentum Score
0
Stann
Wallace
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.4
43%
Strike Accuracy
50%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
5
3
Body
4
9
Leg
0
RangeRange
6Distance3
12Clinch4
0Ground2
Stann
Wallace
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Stann
Wallace
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/18 fights
Chin rating based on
3/41 fights
Stann
Wallace
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Stann
Wallace
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stann
Wallace
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
StannWallace
Strike Zones
Stann
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedWallace
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stann targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Wallace absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Wallace targets the head (56% of attacks) — Stann absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stann
RND
Wallace
0/0R00/0
Stann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Wallace · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.5WinLossTrend
Stann · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Wanderlei SilvaRating 2.1KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann · 2013-03
L · Dec · R3
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort · 2012-09
W · KO · R1
Alessio SakaraRating 5KO/TKO
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · 2012-04
L · Sub · R2
Chael SonnenRating 2.8Submission
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
W · KO · R2
Jorge SantiagoRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill · 2011-05
Wallace · Last 3
L · Dec · R3
Phil DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen · 2010-08
L · Dec · R3
Jared HammanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy · 2010-03
L · Dec · R3
Brian StannRating 5.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavyweights Finale · 2009-12