UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Lightweight
VS
55%
Dober
45%
Green
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:45
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dober
This is a genuine toss-up — Dober at 55% vs Green at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Dober
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
37+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dober
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
49.0
53.2
Performance Avg
45.9
50
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
85
Dober
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
3.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
55%
8.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
11 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
23
2
Body
10
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance34
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Dober
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Dober
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
30/52 fights
Dober
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Dober
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
44%
11
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
DoberGreen
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedGreen
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (65% of attacks) — Green absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (68% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dober · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Green · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonRating 5.3KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1UFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
Green · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07