METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Las Vegas, USA
17 Dec 2022
Lightweight
VS
54%
Dober
46%
Green
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:45
★ Official Result
Drew DoberwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:45
def. King Green · UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dober
→
Actual result
Dober wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dober at 54% vs Green at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dober has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Dober's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DoberGreen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dober
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"
Reach
+71"
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Dober
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
50.1
53.2
Performance Avg
47.2
50
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
85
Dober
Green
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.5
/ 10
4.1
/ 10
7.3
Style: Pressure
5.0
2.8
Style: Volume
5.4
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
23
2
Body
10
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
16Distance34
0Clinch0
1Ground0
Dober
Green
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
0.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
1
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dober
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
4
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
32/52 fights
Dober
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
85
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Dober
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
47%
11
KO / TKO Wins
5
1
Submission Wins
3
3
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dober
Green
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
2.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.4
DoberGreen
Strike Zones
Dober
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
34 absorbedGreen
Attacking
34 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dober targets the head (65% of attacks) — Green absorbs 65% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (68% of attacks) — Dober absorbs 68% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dober
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Dober · Last 5
W · KO · R2
Michael JohnsonKO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · KO · R3
Kyle PrepolecKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Manuel TorresKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · R3
Jean SilvaUFC Fight Night: Namajunas vs. Cortez · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Renato MoicanoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Dolidze vs. Imavov · 2024-02
Green · Last 5
Upcoming
Esteban RibovicsUFC 332: Silva vs. Wang · 2026-10
W · KO · R1
Terrance McKinneyKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12