UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
Los Angeles, USA
4 Jun 2016
Middleweight
VS
54%
Henderson
46%
Lombard
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 1:27
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Henderson
This is a genuine toss-up — Henderson at 54% vs Lombard at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Lombard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Henderson's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Lombard has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Henderson
Lombard
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
71"
55
Age
+48
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Henderson
Lombard
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
11.7
49.5
Performance Avg
39.9
49
Quality of Victory
48
20
Momentum Score
0
Henderson
Lombard
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.2
46%
Strike Accuracy
47%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
7.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
2
0
Body
1
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance3
2Clinch0
2Ground0
Henderson
Lombard
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.3
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Henderson
Lombard
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
24
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/47 fights
Chin rating based on
12/44 fights
Henderson
Lombard
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
0
Current form
6-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Henderson
Lombard
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
67%
4
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Henderson
Lombard
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.2
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
5.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
HendersonLombard
Strike Zones
Henderson
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedLombard
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Henderson targets the head (88% of attacks) — Lombard absorbs 88% of strikes there
🎯Lombard targets the head (67% of attacks) — Henderson absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Henderson
RND
Lombard
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Henderson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.2WinLossTrend
Lombard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Henderson · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Michael BispingRating 5.5Decision
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · KO · R2
Hector LombardRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06
L · KO · R1
Vitor BelfortRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
W · KO · R1
Tim BoetschRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
L · KO · R1
Gegard MousasiRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson · 2015-01
Lombard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thales LeitesRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · R1
CB DollawayRating 4UFC 222: Cyborg vs. Kunitskaya · 2018-03
L · KO · R3
Anthony SmithRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs. Branch · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · KO · R2
Dan HendersonRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 199: Rockhold vs. Bisping 2 · 2016-06