UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Chicago, USA
9 Jun 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
25%
Gadelha
75%
Esparza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CG
Claudia Gadelha
"Claudinha"
18 – 5
5'4"63" reachOrthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Carla
Carla Esparza
"Cookie Monster"
20 – 8
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox63" reach5'1"
CFR 41

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Esparza

Esparza is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gadelha has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Esparza has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gadelha
Esparza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'1"
63"
Reach
63"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gadelha
Esparza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
40.7
40.8
Performance Avg
45.9
29
Quality of Victory
35
30
Momentum Score
60
Gadelha
Esparza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.2
0.8
43%
Strike Accuracy
40%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Gadelha
Esparza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gadelha
Esparza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/28 fights
Gadelha
Esparza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
60
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Gadelha
Esparza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gadelha
Esparza
Striking1.2 / 2.3Volume8.0 / 7.7Grappling3.2 / 2.7Wrestling2.2 / 1.9Submission1.4 / 1.0Pressure2.8 / 3.3
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
Gadelha
Strike Zones
Esparza
Gadelha
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 absorbed
Esparza
Attacking
13HEAD2BODY1LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gadelha targets the head (78% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Esparza targets the head (81% of attacks) — Gadelha absorbs 81% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gadelha
RND
Esparza
0/0R00/0

Gadelha · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W6.3L4.8W5.5L4.5W4.6W6.5L2014-072016-072017-092019-072020-11
WinLossTrend

Esparza · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.7W2.1L4.5W5.5L5.1W4.5W5.5L5.9L5.2W5.7W4.5W5.2W6.2W5.9W4.0L6.2L2014-122017-062019-042021-052024-10
WinLossTrend

Gadelha · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Harris · 2020-05
W · Dec · R3
Randa MarkosRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Nina NunesRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
Carla EsparzaRating 4.8
Decision
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06

Esparza · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 6.2
Decision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Zhang WeiliRating 4
Submission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R2
Yan XiaonanRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07

News & Media

Claudia Gadelha · Carla Esparza
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