METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Chicago, USA
9 Jun 2018
Women's Strawweight
VS
25%
Gadelha
75%
Esparza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Claudia GadelhawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Carla Esparza · UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Esparza
→
Actual result
Gadelha wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Esparza is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Esparza has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GadelhaEsparza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gadelha
Esparza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"+
Height
5'1"
63"
Reach
63"
37+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gadelha
Esparza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.8
40.7
40.8
Performance Avg
45.9
29
Quality of Victory
35
30
Momentum Score
60
Gadelha
Esparza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.3
/ 10
2.8
Style: Pressure
3.3
8.0
Style: Volume
7.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
13
2
Body
2
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
9Distance11
0Clinch1
0Ground4
Gadelha
Esparza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.2
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.9
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
1.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gadelha
Esparza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
38
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
8 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/23 fights
Chin rating based on
16/28 fights
Gadelha
Esparza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
60
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R5
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Gadelha
Esparza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
14%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Gadelha
Esparza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.3
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.0
2.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.3
8.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.7
GadelhaEsparza
Strike Zones
Gadelha
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedEsparza
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Gadelha targets the head (78% of attacks) — Esparza absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Esparza targets the head (81% of attacks) — Gadelha absorbs 81% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Gadelha
RND
Esparza
0/0R00/0
Gadelha · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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UFC 231: Holloway vs. Ortega · 2018-12
W · Dec · R3
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UFC 225: Whittaker vs. Romero 2 · 2018-06
Esparza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonDecision
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Zhang WeiliSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · Dec · R5
Rose NamajunasDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
W · KO · R2
Yan XiaonanKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbrandt · 2021-05
W · Dec · R3
Marina RodriguezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07