METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
26%
Duke
74%
Correia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Bethe CorreiawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jessamyn Duke · UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Correia
→
Actual result
Correia wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Correia is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Duke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Correia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DukeCorreia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Duke
Correia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'5"
73"+
Reach
64"
40+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duke
Correia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.9
25.0
25.0
Performance Avg
36.8
25
Quality of Victory
31
17
Momentum Score
88
Duke
Correia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.1
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
6
Body
6
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
15Distance30
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Duke
Correia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Duke
Correia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Duke
Correia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
88
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Duke
Correia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Duke
Correia
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
DukeCorreia
Strike Zones
Duke
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedCorreia
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Duke targets the head (63% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Correia targets the head (58% of attacks) — Duke absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Duke
RND
Correia
0/0R00/0
Duke · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Correia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Duke · Last 4
L · Dec · R3
Elizabeth PhillipsRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Leslie SmithRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Bethe CorreiaRating 5.5Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Peggy MorganRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11
Correia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06