UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira
Baltimore, USA
26 Apr 2014
Women's Bantamweight
VS
26%
Duke
74%
Correia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JD
Jessamyn Duke
"The Gun"
3 – 5
5'11"73" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
BC
Bethe Correia
"Pitbull"
11 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox64" reach5'5"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Correia

Correia is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 16 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Duke has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Correia has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Duke
Correia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'5"
73"+
Reach
64"
39+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Duke
Correia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
8.9
25.0
25.0
Performance Avg
36.8
25
Quality of Victory
31
17
Momentum Score
88
Duke
Correia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.7
53%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
19
6
Body
6
1
Leg
8
RangeRange
15Distance30
4Clinch3
0Ground0
Duke
Correia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.9
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Duke
Correia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
38
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/8 fights
Chin rating based on
12/17 fights
Duke
Correia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
17
88
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
Duke
Correia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
20%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Duke
Correia
Striking0.5 / 2.9Volume8.5 / 7.3Grappling2.4 / 1.9Wrestling1.7 / 1.3Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 2.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.9
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
Duke
Strike Zones
Correia
Duke
Attacking
12HEAD6BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD6BODY8LEGS33 absorbed
Correia
Attacking
19HEAD6BODY8LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD6BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Duke targets the head (63% of attacks) — Correia absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Correia targets the head (58% of attacks) — Duke absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Duke
RND
Correia
0/0R00/0

Duke · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0104.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L2013-112014-042014-072015-07
WinLossTrend

Correia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.5W4.5W5.2W1.5L6.1L4.5W2.9L4.8L4.5W5.5L6.2L2013-122015-082017-062020-072021-10
WinLossTrend

Duke · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Elizabeth PhillipsRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R1
Leslie SmithRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · 2014-07
L · Dec · R3
Bethe CorreiaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
W · Dec · R3
Peggy MorganRating 4.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · 2013-11

Correia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Karol RosaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Dec · R3
Pannie KianzadRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Till · 2020-07
W · Dec · R3
Sijara EubanksRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Stephens · 2019-09
L · Sub · R3
Irene AldanaRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · 2019-05
L · KO · R3
Holly HolmRating 2.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06

News & Media

Jessamyn Duke · Bethe Correia
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