UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Sydney, Australia
8 Feb 2025
Featherweight
VS
51%
Jenkins
49%
Santos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:06
Jack
Jack Jenkins
"Phar"
14 – 4
5'7"68" reachSwitch32 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 51
Gabriel
Gabriel Santos
"Mosquitinho"
12 – 2
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak29 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jenkins

This is a genuine toss-up — Jenkins at 51% vs Santos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Santos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Jenkins's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jenkins
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+70"
32
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jenkins
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.3
49.9
45.4
Performance Avg
41.0
31
Quality of Victory
35
81
Momentum Score
71
Jenkins
Santos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.0
61%
Strike Accuracy
64%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Jenkins
Santos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jenkins
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Jenkins
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
71
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Jenkins
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jenkins
Santos
Striking3.8 / 1.0Volume7.3 / 5.0Grappling1.8 / 5.2Wrestling1.3 / 3.6Submission0.0 / 5.0Pressure3.8 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Jenkins
Strike Zones
Santos
Jenkins
Attacking
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Santos
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD0BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jenkins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 67% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jenkins
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Jenkins · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W5.0W3.8L5.9W4.7L4.5W2023-022023-062023-092024-082025-022025-09
WinLossTrend

Santos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0107.0L3.6L5.5W6.3W2023-032023-062024-092025-02
WinLossTrend

Jenkins · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosRating 4.7
Submission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
W · Dec · R3
Jamall EmmersRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06

Santos · Last 4

W · Sub · R3
Jack JenkinsRating 6.3
Submission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
YizhaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · KO · R2
David OnamaRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Topuria · 2023-06
L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyRating 7
Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03

News & Media

Jack Jenkins · Gabriel Santos
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