METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Sydney, Australia
8 Feb 2025
Featherweight
VS
51%
Jenkins
49%
Santos
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 2:06
★ Official Result
Gabriel SantoswinsSubmissionR3 · 2:06
def. Jack Jenkins · UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Jenkins
→
Actual result
Santos wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Jenkins at 51% vs Santos at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Jenkins's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JenkinsSantos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Jenkins
Santos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
+70"
32
Age
+29
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Jenkins
Santos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.1
44.9
41.6
Performance Avg
41.0
31
Quality of Victory
35
66
Momentum Score
71
Jenkins
Santos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
5.0
7.1
Style: Volume
5.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
4
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
1Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Jenkins
Santos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
5.2
/ 10
1.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
3.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
5.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jenkins
Santos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/18 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Jenkins
Santos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
66
71
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Jenkins
Santos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jenkins
Santos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
JenkinsSantos
Strike Zones
Jenkins
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedSantos
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jenkins targets the head (100% of attacks) — Santos absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Santos targets the head (67% of attacks) — Jenkins absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jenkins
RND
Santos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jenkins · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonDecision
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W · Dec · R3
Ramon TaverasDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
L · Sub · R3
Gabriel SantosSubmission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · KO · R3
Herbert BurnsKO/TKO
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
L · KO · R2
Chepe MariscalKO/TKO
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09
Santos · Last 4
W · Sub · R3
Jack JenkinsSubmission
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
W · Dec · R3
YizhaDecision
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L · KO · R2
David OnamaKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Lerone MurphyDecision
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