UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2013
Featherweight
VS
76%
Swanson
24%
Siver
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:24
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Swanson
Swanson is a strong favourite at 76% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Swanson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Swanson's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Siver has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Swanson
Siver
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'6"
70"
Reach
70"
42+
Age
47
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Swanson
Siver
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.5
14.3
48.8
Performance Avg
46.1
40
Quality of Victory
37
56
Momentum Score
43
Swanson
Siver
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
1.5
56%
Strike Accuracy
34%
6.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.7
8 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
2
2
Body
0
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
15Distance4
0Clinch0
8Ground0
Swanson
Siver
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Swanson
Siver
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
5
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/45 fights
Chin rating based on
21/34 fights
Swanson
Siver
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
43
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Swanson
Siver
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
42%
8
KO / TKO Wins
3
0
Submission Wins
2
8
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Swanson
Siver
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.7
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.7
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.9
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
SwansonSiver
Strike Zones
Swanson
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedSiver
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Swanson targets the head (87% of attacks) — Siver absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Siver targets the head (50% of attacks) — Swanson absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Swanson
RND
Siver
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Swanson · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Siver · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Swanson · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Nate LandwehrRating 5.7KO/TKO
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Billy QuarantilloRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
W · Dec · R3
Hakeem DawoduRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
L · KO · R2
Jonathan MartinezRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo · 2022-10
Siver · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
BJ PennRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Tatsuya KawajiriRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jedrzejczyk vs Penne · 2015-06
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Charles RosaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Nelson vs Story · 2014-10
Upcoming
Manvel GamburyanUFC 168: Weidman vs Silva 2 · 2013-12