UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm
Las Vegas, USA
30 Dec 2017
Welterweight
VS
32%
Condit
68%
Magny
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
CC
Carlos Condit
"The Natural Born Killer"
32 – 14
6'2"75" reachOrthodox42 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Neil
Neil Magny
"The Haitian Sensation"
31 – 15
Well-Rounded38 yrsOrthodox80" reach6'3"
CFR 48

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Magny

Magny holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Condit has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Condit has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Striking split: Condit throws more volume but Magny connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Condit's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Magny has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Condit
Magny
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+80"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Condit
Magny
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
22.3
47.5
47.8
Performance Avg
47.4
48
Quality of Victory
36
20
Momentum Score
75
Condit
Magny
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
5.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
4 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
5
Body
4
8
Leg
4
RangeRange
17Distance14
0Clinch2
0Ground1
Condit
Magny
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Condit
Magny
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
3
Sub Losses
6
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
9 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
19/46 fights
Chin rating based on
37/46 fights
Condit
Magny
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
20
75
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
Condit
Magny
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
44%
42%
4
KO / TKO Wins
7
0
Submission Wins
3
5
Decision Wins
14

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Condit
Magny
Striking5.4 / 4.2Volume4.5 / 6.0Grappling1.1 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 1.3Pressure4.5 / 4.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.9
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.0
Condit
Strike Zones
Magny
Condit
Attacking
4HEAD5BODY8LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD4BODY4LEGS17 absorbed
Magny
Attacking
9HEAD4BODY4LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD5BODY8LEGS17 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Condit targets the legs (47% of attacks) — Magny absorbs 47% of strikes there
🎯Magny targets the head (53% of attacks) — Condit absorbs 53% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Condit
RND
Magny
0/0R00/0

Condit · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W5.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L5.4W2.8L4.1W5.8L1.5L6.1L2.8L3.5L4.7W4.9W6.1L2009-042012-022015-052018-122021-07
WinLossTrend

Magny · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W1.5L5.5L4.5W4.6W5.2W4.5W5.5W5.5W5.2W2.8L4.5W4.8W5.5W1.5L4.5W1.7L4.5W5.0W3.9L5.3W4.5W4.8W6.3L5.5W5.1W4.8L6.4W1.7L5.6W7.0L7.3W3.6L3.7L5.8W6.5W3.7L2013-022015-082020-032023-082025-12
WinLossTrend

Condit · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · 2021-07
W · Dec · R3
Matt BrownRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar · 2021-01
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana · 2020-10
L · Sub · R2
Michael ChiesaRating 3.5
Submission
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
L · Sub · R2
Alex OliveiraRating 2.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Gaethje · 2018-04

Magny · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yaroslav AmosovRating 3.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · Sub · R3
Jake MatthewsRating 6.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R2
Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosRating 5.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Taira vs. Park · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Prates · 2024-11
L · KO · R1
Michael MoralesRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08

News & Media

Carlos Condit · Neil Magny
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