UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov
Boise, USA
14 Jul 2018
Featherweight
VS
46%
Jury
54%
Mendes
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mendes
This is a genuine toss-up — Jury at 46% vs Mendes at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Jury's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mendes has a chin rating of 10 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Jury
Mendes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'6"
73"+
Reach
66"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jury
Mendes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.8
21.1
51.3
Performance Avg
54.7
41
Quality of Victory
48
50
Momentum Score
100
Jury
Mendes
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.5
44%
Strike Accuracy
57%
5.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
16
1
Body
0
2
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground15
Jury
Mendes
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.8
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Jury
Mendes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
10
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/21 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Jury
Mendes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Jury
Mendes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Jury
Mendes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.8
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.6
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.6
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.0
JuryMendes
Strike Zones
Jury
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedMendes
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Jury targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Mendes targets the head (94% of attacks) — Jury absorbs 94% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Jury
RND
Mendes
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Jury · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Jury · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Andre FiliRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02
L · KO · R1
Chad MendesRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
W · Dec · R3
Ricky GlennRating 4.6Decision
UFC 219: Cyborg vs. Holm · 2017-12
W · KO · R1
Mike de la TorreRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 210: Cormier vs. Johnson 2 · 2017-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles OliveiraRating 2.9Submission
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04