UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Middleweight
VS
45%
Abreu
55%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RA
Ricardo Abreu
"Demente"
5 – 1
5'11"Orthodox42 yrsSubmission Hunter
CFR 22
JC
Jake Collier
"The Prototype"
13 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Collier

This is a genuine toss-up — Abreu at 45% vs Collier at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Abreu has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Collier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Abreu
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
Reach
78"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Abreu
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
26.7
49.7
Performance Avg
36.4
50
Quality of Victory
37
71
Momentum Score
45
Abreu
Collier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.9
41%
Strike Accuracy
43%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
14
1
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance22
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Abreu
Collier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
8.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
5.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Abreu
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
2
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/6 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Abreu
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
45
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Abreu
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Abreu
Collier
Striking1.0 / 2.7Volume1.0 / 5.5Grappling8.0 / 3.0Wrestling5.6 / 2.1Submission10.0 / 2.0Pressure8.5 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Abreu
Strike Zones
Collier
Abreu
Attacking
18HEAD1BODY2LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD5BODY3LEGS22 absorbed
Collier
Attacking
14HEAD5BODY3LEGS22 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD1BODY2LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Abreu targets the head (86% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (64% of attacks) — Abreu absorbs 64% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Abreu
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0

Abreu · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.2W5.5L2014-052015-06
WinLossTrend

Collier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W3.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W6.2L3.8L6.5L6.5L2014-122017-042021-062023-042023-09
WinLossTrend

Abreu · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R2
Wagner SilvaRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05

Collier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Ricardo Abreu · Jake Collier
← Back to fights