METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
New Orleans, USA
6 Jun 2015
Middleweight
VS
45%
Abreu
55%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake CollierwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ricardo Abreu · UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Collier
→
Actual result
Collier wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Abreu at 45% vs Collier at 55% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Abreu has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AbreuCollier
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Abreu
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
Reach
78"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Abreu
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
26.7
49.7
Performance Avg
36.4
50
Quality of Victory
37
71
Momentum Score
45
Abreu
Collier
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
2.7
/ 10
8.5
Style: Pressure
3.9
1.0
Style: Volume
5.5
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
14
1
Body
5
2
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance22
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Abreu
Collier
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
5.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
10.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Abreu
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
2
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/6 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Abreu
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
45
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Abreu
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
0
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Abreu
Collier
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
8.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
5.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
10.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
8.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
1.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
AbreuCollier
Strike Zones
Abreu
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedCollier
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Abreu targets the head (86% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (64% of attacks) — Abreu absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Abreu
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0
Abreu · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierDecision
UFC Fight Night: Boetsch vs Henderson · 2015-06
W · Sub · R2
Wagner SilvaSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Maldonado · 2014-05
Collier · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayDecision
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L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettKO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanSubmission
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