UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Heavyweight
VS
13%
Guelmino
87%
Omielanczuk
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 3:18
NG
Nandor Guelmino
"The Hun"
11 – 5
6'3"50 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 2
DO
Daniel Omielanczuk
19 – 8
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsSouthpaw74" reach6'0"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Omielanczuk

Omielanczuk is a strong favourite at 87% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Omielanczuk has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.

Striking split: Guelmino throws more volume but Omielanczuk connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Guelmino
Omielanczuk
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
Reach
74"
50
Age
+43
—
Stance
Southpaw
Guelmino
Omielanczuk
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.2
15.0
0.0
Performance Avg
41.8
0
Quality of Victory
40
0
Momentum Score
30
Guelmino
Omielanczuk
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
0.9
53%
Strike Accuracy
61%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
13
Body
2
2
Leg
6
RangeRange
12Distance12
6Clinch3
0Ground1
Guelmino
Omielanczuk
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guelmino
Omielanczuk
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
80
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/16 fights
Chin rating based on
9/27 fights
Guelmino
Omielanczuk
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Guelmino
Omielanczuk
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guelmino
Omielanczuk
Striking0.0 / 5.9Volume0.0 / 4.9Grappling0.0 / 1.2Wrestling0.0 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.9
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Guelmino
Strike Zones
Omielanczuk
Guelmino
Attacking
3HEAD13BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD2BODY6LEGS16 absorbed
Omielanczuk
Attacking
8HEAD2BODY6LEGS16 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD13BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guelmino targets the body (72% of attacks) — Omielanczuk absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Omielanczuk targets the head (50% of attacks) — Guelmino absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guelmino
RND
Omielanczuk
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Omielanczuk · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.5W5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W2.8L5.5L6.4L2013-092015-072016-102017-07
WinLossTrend

Guelmino · Last 1

L · KO · R3
Daniel OmielanczukRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09

Omielanczuk · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 213: Romero vs. Whittaker · 2017-07
L · Dec · R3
Timothy JohnsonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Manuwa vs. Anderson · 2017-03
L · Sub · R2
Stefan StruveRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 204: Bisping vs. Henderson · 2016-10
W · Dec · R3
Aleksei OleinikRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McDonald vs. Lineker · 2016-07
W · Dec · R3
Jarjis DanhoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02

News & Media

Nandor Guelmino · Daniel Omielanczuk
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