UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
Jacksonville, USA
24 Apr 2021
Lightweight
VS
27%
Vargas
73%
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KV
Kazula Vargas
12 – 5
5'8"71" reachSouthpaw40 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 16
Rongzhu
Rongzhu
27 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak26 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 44

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge:

is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 28 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Vargas
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
71"
Reach
+72"
40
Age
+26
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Vargas
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.3
44.3
25.0
Performance Avg
40.0
25
Quality of Victory
33
33
Momentum Score
50
Vargas
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
2.5
51%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
27
9
Body
0
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
41Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Vargas
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Vargas
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
84
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
4/17 fights
Chin rating based on
6/33 fights
Vargas
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
50
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R3
Vargas
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vargas
Striking0.5 / 4.3Volume8.5 / 6.3Grappling2.4 / 1.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.1Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.8 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
8.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
Vargas
Strike Zones
Vargas
Attacking
30HEAD9BODY2LEGS41 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD0BODY0LEGS27 absorbed
Attacking
27HEAD0BODY0LEGS27 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD9BODY2LEGS41 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vargas targets the head (73% of attacks) — absorbs 73% of strikes there
🎯 targets the head (100% of attacks) — Vargas absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vargas
RND
0/0R00/0

Vargas · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0105.5L4.0L5.0W3.2L2019-082020-022021-042022-03
WinLossTrend

· QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5W5.3L6.5L5.9W4.5W2021-042021-092022-022024-092025-022025-08
WinLossTrend

Vargas · Last 4

L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall · 2022-03
W · Dec · R3
RongzhuRating 5
Decision
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2 · 2021-04
L · R1
Brok WeaverRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. Blachowicz · 2020-02
L · Dec · R3
Alex Da SilvaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs. Carmouche 2 · 2019-08

· Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Austin HubbardRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
W · Dec · R3
Kody SteeleRating 5.9
Decision
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2 · 2025-02
L · R2
Chris PadillaRating 6.5
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · 2024-09
L · Sub · R3
Ignacio BahamondesRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Green · 2022-02
W · KO · R3
Brandon JenkinsRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · 2021-09

News & Media

Kazula Vargas · Rongzhu
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