UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
43%
Penne
57%
Ricci
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:14
Jessica
Jessica Penne
14 – 9
5'5"67" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 36
Tabatha
Tabatha Ricci
"Baby Shark"
12 – 4
Well-Rounded31 yrsOrthodox61" reach5'1"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ricci

This is a genuine toss-up — Penne at 43% vs Ricci at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Ricci has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Penne
Ricci
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
67"+
Reach
61"
43
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Ricci
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
48.5
34.1
Performance Avg
48.1
35
Quality of Victory
38
63
Momentum Score
53
Penne
Ricci
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
32%
Strike Accuracy
38%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance6
1Clinch1
0Ground3
Penne
Ricci
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Penne
Ricci
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
11/16 fights
Penne
Ricci
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Penne
Ricci
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Penne
Ricci
Striking0.7 / 2.7Volume6.0 / 7.0Grappling4.3 / 2.9Wrestling3.0 / 2.0Submission3.3 / 1.4Pressure3.3 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Penne
Strike Zones
Ricci
Penne
Attacking
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 absorbed
Ricci
Attacking
6HEAD1BODY3LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD1BODY0LEGS3 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ricci targets the head (60% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 60% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Penne
RND
Ricci
0/0R00/0

Penne · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0104.5W2.8L3.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L3.4L5.5L2014-122017-042022-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Ricci · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.4L4.5W4.8W5.3W5.7W6.0L5.2W4.6W6.5L5.4W6.2L2021-062023-032024-052025-072026-04
WinLossTrend

Penne · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciRating 3.4
Submission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczRating 5
Submission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04

Ricci · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasRating 5.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Borralho · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Tecia PenningtonRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05

News & Media

Jessica Penne · Tabatha Ricci
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