METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Las Vegas, USA
4 Mar 2023
Women's Strawweight
VS
44%
Penne
56%
Ricci
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:14
★ Official Result
Tabatha RicciwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:14
def. Jessica Penne · UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ricci
→
Actual result
Ricci wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Penne at 44% vs Ricci at 56% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Penne's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PenneRicci
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Penne
Ricci
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"+
Height
5'1"
67"+
Reach
61"
43
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Penne
Ricci
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.1
45.8
34.1
Performance Avg
44.1
35
Quality of Victory
35
63
Momentum Score
53
Penne
Ricci
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
3.3
Style: Pressure
3.8
6.0
Style: Volume
6.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
6
1
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
2Distance6
1Clinch1
0Ground3
Penne
Ricci
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
3.3
Submission Style (/10)
1.4
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Penne
Ricci
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
70
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
11 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/23 fights
Chin rating based on
12/16 fights
Penne
Ricci
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
53
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Penne
Ricci
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
29%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
1
2
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Penne
Ricci
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.6
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
6.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
PenneRicci
Strike Zones
Penne
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedRicci
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Penne targets the head (67% of attacks) — Ricci absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Ricci targets the head (60% of attacks) — Penne absorbs 60% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Penne
RND
Ricci
0/0R00/0
Penne · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Elise ReedDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Pereira · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Tabatha RicciSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Emily DucoteDecision
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez · 2022-07
W · Sub · R1
Karolina KowalkiewiczSubmission
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Dec · R3
Loopy GodinezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Gastelum · 2021-04
Ricci · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Fatima KlineDecision
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L · Dec · R3
Virna JandirobaDecision
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W · KO · R2
Amanda RibasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Yan XiaonanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Figueiredo · 2024-11
W · Dec · R3
Angela HillDecision
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