UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Newark, USA
6 May 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
68%
Nzechukwu
32%
Clark
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:28
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Nzechukwu
Nzechukwu holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Clark has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nzechukwu has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Striking split: Nzechukwu throws more volume but Clark connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Nzechukwu's chin rating of 28 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clark has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Nzechukwu
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'0"
83"+
Reach
75"
33+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nzechukwu
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.3
28.7
53.2
Performance Avg
35.7
51
Quality of Victory
28
88
Momentum Score
43
Nzechukwu
Clark
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.6
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
54%
8.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.2
6 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
7
11
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance8
14Clinch3
0Ground0
Nzechukwu
Clark
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Nzechukwu
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
28
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/20 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Nzechukwu
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
43
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Nzechukwu
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
13%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nzechukwu
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
NzechukwuClark
Strike Zones
Nzechukwu
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedClark
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nzechukwu targets the body (52% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (64% of attacks) — Nzechukwu absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nzechukwu
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
Nzechukwu · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Clark · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Nzechukwu · Last 5
Upcoming
Marcus BuchechaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerRating 3.4Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Chris BarnettRating 6KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ovince Saint PreuxRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Clark · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Sub · R2
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 4Submission
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungRating 5.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovRating 5.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · KO · R3
William KnightRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muhammad · 2022-04