METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Newark, USA
6 May 2023
Light Heavyweight
VS
71%
Nzechukwu
29%
Clark
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:28
★ Official Result
Kennedy NzechukwuwinsSubmissionR2 · 2:28
def. Devin Clark · UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nzechukwu
→
Actual result
Nzechukwu wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Nzechukwu is a strong favourite at 71% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Nzechukwu has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 23 points.
Risk flags
Nzechukwu's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Clark has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NzechukwuClark
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nzechukwu
Clark
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'5"+
Height
6'0"
83"+
Reach
75"
34+
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Nzechukwu
Clark
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.7
23.9
51.7
Performance Avg
35.7
51
Quality of Victory
28
88
Momentum Score
43
Nzechukwu
Clark
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.6
/ 10
2.2
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
2.3
2.1
Style: Volume
7.9
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
7
11
Body
4
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance8
14Clinch3
0Ground0
Nzechukwu
Clark
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.3
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
0.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.5
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nzechukwu
Clark
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/20 fights
Chin rating based on
17/23 fights
Nzechukwu
Clark
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
88
43
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
Upcoming
L · Sub · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
Nzechukwu
Clark
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
13%
6
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nzechukwu
Clark
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.2
1.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
0.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.3
2.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.9
NzechukwuClark
Strike Zones
Nzechukwu
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedClark
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nzechukwu targets the body (52% of attacks) — Clark absorbs 52% of strikes there
🎯Clark targets the head (64% of attacks) — Nzechukwu absorbs 64% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nzechukwu
RND
Clark
0/0R00/0
Nzechukwu · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
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W · KO · R1
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L · Dec · R3
Marcin PrachnioDecision
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L · Sub · R2
Kennedy NzechukwuSubmission
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo · 2023-05
W · Dec · R3
Da Woon JungDecision
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L · KO · R3
Azamat MurzakanovKO/TKO
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