METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
Vancouver, Canada
12 Jun 2010
Lightweight
VS
54%
Danzig
46%
Wiman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:45
MD
Mac Danzig
2112
5'8"70" reachOrthodox46 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MW
Matt Wiman
1610
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'10"
CFR 15
★ Official Result
Matt WimanwinsSubmissionR1 · 1:45
def. Mac Danzig · UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Danzig
Actual result
Wiman wins
Submission · R1
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Danzig at 54% vs Wiman at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Danzig has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Risk flags

Danzig's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wiman has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DanzigWiman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Danzig
Wiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"+
Reach
68"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danzig
Wiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
15.4
46.0
Performance Avg
46.3
51
Quality of Victory
40
65
Momentum Score
54
Danzig
Wiman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
3.1
/ 10
5.3
Style: Pressure
5.2
4.0
Style: Volume
5.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Danzig
Wiman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.0
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Danzig
Wiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Danzig
Wiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
54
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Danzig
Wiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Danzig
Wiman
Striking2.8 / 3.1Volume4.0 / 5.1Grappling4.2 / 3.6Wrestling2.9 / 2.5Submission4.0 / 3.0Pressure5.3 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Danzig
Strike Zones
Wiman
Danzig
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Wiman
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Danzig targets the head (75% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Wiman targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Danzig
RND
Wiman
0/0R00/0

Danzig · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joe Lauzon
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin Guillard
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori Gomi
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain Escudero
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt Wiman
Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jordan Leavitt
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe Solecki
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis Pena
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-Flagg
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ Grant
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

News & Media

Mac Danzig · Matt Wiman
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