UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
Vancouver, Canada
12 Jun 2010
Lightweight
VS
54%
Danzig
46%
Wiman
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:45
MD
Mac Danzig
2112
5'8"70" reachOrthodox46 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 18
MW
Matt Wiman
1610
Well-Rounded3-fight slide42 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Danzig

This is a genuine toss-up — Danzig at 54% vs Wiman at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Danzig has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Danzig has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Danzig's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Wiman has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Danzig
Wiman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'10"
70"+
Reach
68"
46
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Danzig
Wiman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.9
15.4
46.0
Performance Avg
46.3
51
Quality of Victory
40
65
Momentum Score
54
Danzig
Wiman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.2
53%
Strike Accuracy
49%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
1
0
Body
1
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
1Ground1
Danzig
Wiman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Danzig
Wiman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
4
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.8 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
13/33 fights
Chin rating based on
18/26 fights
Danzig
Wiman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
54
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Danzig
Wiman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Danzig
Wiman
Striking2.8 / 3.1Volume4.0 / 5.1Grappling4.2 / 3.6Wrestling2.9 / 2.5Submission4.0 / 3.0Pressure5.3 / 5.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.2
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
Danzig
Strike Zones
Wiman
Danzig
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 absorbed
Wiman
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY2LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Danzig targets the head (75% of attacks) — Wiman absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Wiman targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Danzig absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Danzig
RND
Wiman
0/0R00/0

Danzig · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.0W5.5W6.0L2.8L5.9L4.5W1.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.8L5.5L2007-122009-072011-102013-12
WinLossTrend

Wiman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0102.8L5.0W4.5W5.0W5.2W5.9L5.5L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W4.0L6.2L3.0L2006-052008-122011-072019-062020-12
WinLossTrend

Danzig · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Joe LauzonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2 · 2013-12
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Takanori GomiRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
L · Dec · R3
Matt WimanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson · 2011-10

Wiman · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Jordan LeavittRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Dec · R3
Joe SoleckiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · KO · R3
Luis PenaRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Isaac Vallie-FlaggRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Swanson · 2014-11
L · KO · R1
TJ GrantRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

News & Media

Mac Danzig · Matt Wiman
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