UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
Las Vegas, USA
5 Mar 2022
Flyweight
VS
40%
Elliott
60%
Ulanbekov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Tim
Tim Elliott
22 – 14
5'7"66" reachSouthpaw39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 37
Tagir
Tagir Ulanbekov
17 – 3
Well-Rounded34 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'7"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Ulanbekov

Ulanbekov holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Elliott has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Striking split: Elliott throws more volume but Ulanbekov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Elliott's chin rating of 26 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Elliott
Ulanbekov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"
Height
5'7"
66"
Reach
+70"
39
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Elliott
Ulanbekov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.8
56.3
37.9
Performance Avg
50.3
33
Quality of Victory
34
43
Momentum Score
80
Elliott
Ulanbekov
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
54%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
22
4
Body
4
11
Leg
5
RangeRange
19Distance19
1Clinch10
0Ground2
Elliott
Ulanbekov
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.3
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Elliott
Ulanbekov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
26
86
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
5
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/36 fights
Chin rating based on
8/20 fights
Elliott
Ulanbekov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
43
80
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Elliott
Ulanbekov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
30%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
2
7
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Elliott
Ulanbekov
Striking0.9 / 1.5Volume6.5 / 6.8Grappling4.1 / 4.3Wrestling2.9 / 3.0Submission3.0 / 3.3Pressure3.5 / 4.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.3
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.0
3.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.8
Elliott
Strike Zones
Ulanbekov
Elliott
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY11LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD4BODY5LEGS31 absorbed
Ulanbekov
Attacking
22HEAD4BODY5LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY11LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Elliott targets the legs (55% of attacks) — Ulanbekov absorbs 55% of strikes there
🎯Ulanbekov targets the head (71% of attacks) — Elliott absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Elliott
RND
Ulanbekov
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Elliott · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0105.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L1.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W1.5L5.2W2.6L5.5L3.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L5.6W4.6W5.4L5.6W5.2W6.1L2012-052016-122020-052023-102026-05
WinLossTrend

Ulanbekov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.4W6.0W5.6L6.2W5.4W5.4W4.5W5.5L2020-102022-032023-122025-062025-11
WinLossTrend

Elliott · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Steve ErcegRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05
W · Sub · R2
Kai AsakuraRating 5.2
Submission
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · Sub · R1
SumudaerjiRating 5.6
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
L · Sub · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
W · Dec · R3
Victor AltamiranoRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

Ulanbekov · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Azat MaksumRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Clayton CarpenterRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R2
Cody DurdenRating 5.4
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Sub · R1
Nate ManessRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Lemos · 2022-11

News & Media

Tim Elliott · Tagir Ulanbekov
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