METRICS GUIDE

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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
Calgary, Canada
28 Jul 2018
Women's Flyweight
VS
32%
Davis
68%
Cerminara
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
AD
Alexis Davis
21 – 11
5'6"68" reachOrthodox41 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 22
Katlyn
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'9"
CFR 46
★ Official Result
Katlyn CerminarawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Alexis Davis · UFC Fight Night: Alvarez vs. Poirier 2

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Cerminara
→
Actual result
Cerminara wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Cerminara holds a meaningful edge at 68% per the CFR ratings — but Davis has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Davis's chin rating of 58 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cerminara has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
DavisCerminara
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Cerminara
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
68"
Reach
68"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Davis
Cerminara
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.5
45.8
39.7
Performance Avg
40.9
28
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
85
Davis
Cerminara
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
1.3
/ 10
2.6
Style: Pressure
1.9
8.1
Style: Volume
9.3
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
10
Head
19
1
Body
2
8
Leg
0
RangeRange
19Distance20
0Clinch1
0Ground0
Davis
Cerminara
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
1.3
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Davis
Cerminara
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
58
48
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
10 fights ago
Last KO loss
7 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/32 fights
Chin rating based on
18/24 fights
Davis
Cerminara
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
85
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Davis
Cerminara
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Davis
Cerminara
Striking1.1 / 1.3Volume8.1 / 9.3Grappling3.1 / 2.4Wrestling2.2 / 1.7Submission1.3 / 0.0Pressure2.6 / 1.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
3.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.9
8.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Davis
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Davis
Attacking
10HEAD1BODY8LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD2BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Cerminara
Attacking
19HEAD2BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD1BODY8LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (53% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 53% of strikes there
🎯Cerminara targets the head (90% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 90% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Davis
RND
Cerminara
0/0R00/0

Davis · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Julija Stoliarenko
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · 2022-02
L · Dec · R3
Pannie Kianzad
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
W · Dec · R3
Sabina Mazo
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gane · 2021-02
L · Dec · R3
Viviane Araujo
Decision
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jennifer Maia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03

Cerminara · Last 5

Upcoming
Jamey-Lyn Horth
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10
L · Dec · R3
Maycee Barber
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon Fiorot
Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda Ribas
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer Maia
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Alexis Davis · Katlyn Cerminara
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