UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2
Las Vegas, USA
5 Sept 2015
Lightweight
VS
95%
Silva
5%
Malegarie
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Joaquim
Joaquim Silva
"Netto BJJ"
14 – 6
5'8"69" reachSouthpaw37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
NM
Nazareno Malegarie
"El Tigre"
28 – 4
Well-Rounded40 yrs5'8"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Silva

Silva is a strong favourite at 95% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 45 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Silva has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 38 points.

Striking split: Malegarie throws more volume but Silva connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Silva's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Silva
Malegarie
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
69"
Reach
37+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
—
Silva
Malegarie
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
47.9
2.7
46.0
Performance Avg
0.0
38
Quality of Victory
0
67
Momentum Score
0
Silva
Malegarie
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
1.6
45%
Strike Accuracy
34%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
22
8
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance24
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Silva
Malegarie
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Silva
Malegarie
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/20 fights
Chin rating based on
1/32 fights
Silva
Malegarie
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
67
0
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Silva
Malegarie
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Silva
Malegarie
Striking5.5 / 0.0Volume5.7 / 0.0Grappling1.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.0 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.8 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Silva
Strike Zones
Malegarie
Silva
Attacking
12HEAD8BODY0LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD2BODY0LEGS24 absorbed
Malegarie
Attacking
22HEAD2BODY0LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD8BODY0LEGS20 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Silva targets the head (60% of attacks) — Malegarie absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Malegarie targets the head (92% of attacks) — Silva absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Silva
RND
Malegarie
0/0R00/0

Silva · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.7L5.9W3.4L1.6L5.2W5.6L5.0W6.5L5.4W2015-092018-012021-062023-122025-09
WinLossTrend

Silva · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Claudio PuellesRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg · 2024-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan · 2023-12
L · KO · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
W · KO · R2
Jesse RonsonRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan · 2022-10

Malegarie · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Joaquim SilvaRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 191: Johnson vs Dodson 2 · 2015-09

News & Media

Joaquim Silva · Nazareno Malegarie
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