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All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson
Houston, USA
3 Oct 2015
Flyweight
VS
50%
Benavidez
50%
Bagautinov
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
JB
Joseph Benavidez
288
5'4"65" reachSouthpaw42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 16
AB
Ali Bagautinov
"Puncher"
156
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox65" reach5'4"
CFR 16
★ Official Result
Joseph BenavidezwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Ali Bagautinov · UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Benavidez
Actual result
Benavidez wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Benavidez at 50% vs Bagautinov at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Risk flags

Benavidez's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
BenavidezBagautinov
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Benavidez
Bagautinov
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
65"
Reach
65"
42
Age
+41
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Benavidez
Bagautinov
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.1
15.8
51.8
Performance Avg
42.7
39
Quality of Victory
33
40
Momentum Score
45
Benavidez
Bagautinov
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.8
/ 10
3.6
/ 10
4.9
Style: Pressure
3.5
6.2
Style: Volume
7.1
5 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
9
4
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance12
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Benavidez
Bagautinov
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.7
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Benavidez
Bagautinov
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
21/36 fights
Chin rating based on
7/21 fights
Benavidez
Bagautinov
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
45
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Benavidez
Bagautinov
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
25%
5
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
9
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Benavidez
Bagautinov
Striking4.8 / 3.6Volume6.2 / 7.1Grappling2.0 / 1.8Wrestling1.4 / 1.3Submission0.7 / 0.0Pressure4.9 / 3.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.5
6.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.1
Benavidez
Strike Zones
Bagautinov
Benavidez
Attacking
14HEAD4BODY1LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Bagautinov
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD4BODY1LEGS19 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Benavidez targets the head (74% of attacks) — Bagautinov absorbs 74% of strikes there
🎯Bagautinov targets the head (75% of attacks) — Benavidez absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Benavidez
RND
Bagautinov
0/0R00/0

Benavidez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Askar Askarov
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · Sub · R1
Deiveson Figueiredo
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2 · 2020-07
L · KO · R2
Deiveson Figueiredo
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. Figueiredo · 2020-02
W · KO · R2
Jussier Formiga
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Dustin Ortiz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01

Bagautinov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Kyoji Horiguchi
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mousasi vs. Hall 2 · 2016-11
W · Dec · R3
Geane Herrera
Decision
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Thompson · 2016-06
L · Dec · R3
Joseph Benavidez
Decision
UFC 192: Cormier vs Gustafsson · 2015-10
L · Dec · R5
Demetrious Johnson
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
John Lineker
Decision
UFC 169: Barao vs Faber 2 · 2014-02

News & Media

Joseph Benavidez · Ali Bagautinov
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