METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Des Moines, USA
3 May 2025
Heavyweight
VS
42%
Petersen
58%
Mayes
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Thomas PetersenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Don'Tale Mayes · UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Mayes
→
Actual result
Petersen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Petersen at 42% vs Mayes at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mayes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Risk flags
Petersen's chin rating of 42 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mayes has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
PetersenMayes
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Petersen
Mayes
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'6"
74"
Reach
+81"
31+
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Petersen
Mayes
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
29.5
41.2
32.1
Performance Avg
37.8
25
Quality of Victory
39
30
Momentum Score
43
Petersen
Mayes
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
5.7
/ 10
1.3
Style: Pressure
4.6
8.9
Style: Volume
4.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
0
0
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
0Clinch0
21Ground0
Petersen
Mayes
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Petersen
Mayes
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
42
56
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/15 fights
Chin rating based on
12/20 fights
Petersen
Mayes
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
30
43
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Petersen
Mayes
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Petersen
Mayes
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.7
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.6
8.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
PetersenMayes
Strike Zones
Petersen
Attacking
22 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedMayes
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
22 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Petersen targets the head (100% of attacks) — Mayes absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Mayes targets the body (100% of attacks) — Petersen absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Petersen
RND
Mayes
0/0R00/0
Petersen · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerSubmission
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W · Dec · R3
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UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · KO · R3
Vitor PetrinoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · KO · R1
Shamil GazievKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · 2025-02
Mayes · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Thomas PetersenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Valter WalkerSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Shamil GazievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
L · Dec · R3
Rodrigo NascimentoDecision
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