UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee
Las Vegas, USA
7 Oct 2017
Lightweight
VS
48%
Vannata
52%
Green
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Lando
Lando Vannata
"Groovy"
12 – 8
5'9"71" reachOrthodox34 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
King
King Green
35 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 49

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Green

This is a genuine toss-up — Vannata at 48% vs Green at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Green has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Vannata's chin rating of 44 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Green has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Vannata
Green
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
34+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Vannata
Green
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.9
49.0
37.9
Performance Avg
45.9
41
Quality of Victory
38
70
Momentum Score
85
Vannata
Green
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
3.2
44%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.6
1 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
32
8
Body
4
7
Leg
2
RangeRange
43Distance34
1Clinch4
0Ground0
Vannata
Green
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
3.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
2.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Vannata
Green
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
44
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/20 fights
Chin rating based on
30/52 fights
Vannata
Green
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
70
85
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R1
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
Vannata
Green
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
44%
1
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
3
2
Decision Wins
9

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Vannata
Green
Striking3.2 / 3.6Volume4.7 / 5.6Grappling3.2 / 2.9Wrestling2.2 / 2.0Submission2.5 / 1.9Pressure4.5 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.6
3.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
2.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.9
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.6
Vannata
Strike Zones
Green
Vannata
Attacking
29HEAD8BODY7LEGS44 landed
Absorbing
32HEAD4BODY2LEGS38 absorbed
Green
Attacking
32HEAD4BODY2LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD8BODY7LEGS44 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Vannata targets the head (66% of attacks) — Green absorbs 66% of strikes there
🎯Green targets the head (84% of attacks) — Vannata absorbs 84% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Vannata
RND
Green
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Vannata · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0103.3L5.0W5.5L6.5L5.0W5.6L4.5W6.2L4.5W2.3L5.9L3.5L2016-072018-072020-022022-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Green · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.0W4.5W4.5W6.0L2.8L5.5L4.5W6.5L5.5L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.7L6.5L5.0W5.2W3.5L4.0L6.0W6.5W2.7L4.9W3.2L3.2L5.9W5.6W5.5W2013-022018-012021-082023-122026-05
WinLossTrend

Vannata · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Darrius FlowersRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Duncan · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Sub · R1
Charles JourdainRating 2.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andrade · 2022-04
W · Dec · R3
Mike GrundyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
L · Dec · R3
King GreenRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Shahbazyan · 2020-08

Green · Last 5

W · Sub · R1
Jeremy StephensRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · KO · R2
Daniel ZellhuberRating 5.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · 2026-02
W · Dec · R3
Lance Gibson Jr.Rating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 313: Pereira vs. Ankalaev · 2025-03
L · Sub · R1
Paddy PimblettRating 3.2
Submission
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07

News & Media

Lando Vannata · King Green
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