METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
69%
Holloway
31%
Edgar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Frankie Edgar · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayEdgar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.9
25.4
57.7
Performance Avg
48.0
48
Quality of Victory
39
63
Momentum Score
68
Holloway
Edgar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.0
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
6.0
Style: Pressure
4.2
4.8
Style: Volume
6.1
11 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
15
1
Body
5
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
30Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holloway
Edgar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.6
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
1.1
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Holloway
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
68
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Holloway
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
33%
11
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Edgar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
HollowayEdgar
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedEdgar
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (97% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (58% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0
Holloway · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierDecision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeKO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezKO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozDecision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12