★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
69%
Holloway
31%
Edgar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
279
5'11"69" reachOrthodox34 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 56
FE
Frankie Edgar
"The Answer"
2311
Well-Rounded3-fight slide44 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 25

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holloway

Holloway holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Holloway
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
25.4
56.8
Performance Avg
48.0
47
Quality of Victory
39
63
Momentum Score
68
Holloway
Edgar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
15
1
Body
5
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
30Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holloway
Edgar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holloway
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
Strikes absorbed / min
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Holloway
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
68
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Holloway
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
33%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Holloway
Edgar
Striking5.8 / 3.5Volume4.9 / 6.1Grappling1.7 / 2.4Wrestling1.2 / 1.6Submission0.9 / 1.1Pressure5.8 / 4.2
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Holloway
Strike Zones
Edgar
Holloway
Attacking
29HEAD1BODY0LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD5BODY6LEGS26 absorbed
Edgar
Attacking
15HEAD5BODY6LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD1BODY0LEGS30 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (97% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (58% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Holloway
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0

Holloway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0102.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L7.5L5.2W6.2W5.5W5.0W4.5W6.0W6.4W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.7W5.7W5.7W6.8L4.5W7.0L7.0L5.0W6.1W7.0L5.9W5.7W7.1W5.1L5.8W6.9L2012-022014-082017-062021-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Edgar · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5W4.5W5.4W5.5L5.5L6.0L5.9W5.2W6.0W4.5W5.0W6.0L5.0W5.8W2.9L5.0W6.6L2.0L5.0W3.0L4.8L2.0L2007-022010-082015-052019-122022-11
WinLossTrend

Holloway · Last 5

Upcoming
Conor McGregor
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

Edgar · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12

News & Media

Max Holloway · Frankie Edgar
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