METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Featherweight
UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Edmonton, Canada
27 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
69%
Holloway
31%
Edgar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Frankie Edgar · UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Edgar has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 31 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Edgar has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HollowayEdgar
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Holloway
Edgar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'6"
69"+
Reach
68"
34+
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Edgar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
25.4
56.8
Performance Avg
48.0
47
Quality of Victory
39
63
Momentum Score
68
Holloway
Edgar
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.2
1.3
52%
Strike Accuracy
45%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
15
1
Body
5
0
Leg
6
RangeRange
30Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holloway
Edgar
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.0
1.7
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.2
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Holloway
Edgar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
0
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.4 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
30/34 fights
Holloway
Edgar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
68
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
Holloway
Edgar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
33%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
2
11
Decision Wins
12
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Edgar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.6
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.1
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.2
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
HollowayEdgar
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedEdgar
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (97% of attacks) — Edgar absorbs 97% of strikes there
🎯Edgar targets the head (58% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 58% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Edgar
0/0R00/0
Holloway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Edgar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Holloway · Last 5
Upcoming
Conor McGregorUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Edgar · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Chris GutierrezRating 2KO/TKO
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
L · KO · R3
Marlon VeraRating 4.8KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · KO · R1
Cory SandhagenRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Volkov · 2021-02
W · Dec · R5
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · 2020-08
L · KO · R1
Chan Sung JungRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The Korean Zombie · 2019-12