UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
Denver, USA
11 Aug 2012
Middleweight
VS
28%
Shields
72%
Herman
Win Probability
JS
Jake Shields
31 – 9
6'0"72" reachOrthodox47 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 15
EH
Ed Herman
"Short Fuse"
27 – 16
Well-Rounded2-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'1"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Herman

Herman is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 24 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Herman has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Herman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Herman has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Shields
Herman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'1"
72"
Reach
+77"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Shields
Herman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.8
38.7
37.9
Performance Avg
47.4
25
Quality of Victory
44
65
Momentum Score
82
Shields
Herman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.0
32%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
3
3
Body
3
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
3Clinch5
5Ground0
Shields
Herman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Shields
Herman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/40 fights
Chin rating based on
26/43 fights
Shields
Herman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
82
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Shields
Herman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
69%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Shields
Herman
Striking1.1 / 4.1Volume9.1 / 3.5Grappling2.4 / 3.8Wrestling1.7 / 2.7Submission0.0 / 3.9Pressure1.7 / 6.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.9
1.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.4
9.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
Shields
Strike Zones
Herman
Shields
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD3BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Herman
Attacking
3HEAD3BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY1LEGS11 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Shields targets the head (64% of attacks) — Herman absorbs 64% of strikes there
🎯Herman targets the head (50% of attacks) — Shields absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Shields
RND
Herman
0/0R00/0

Shields · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2010-102011-092013-062014-03
WinLossTrend

Herman · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5L1.5L5.0W5.2W5.5W2.8L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.0W5.0W5.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W1.8L5.2W4.0L5.5L5.5L5.0W4.5W5.5W6.4L4.4L2006-062009-042014-052019-112023-04
WinLossTrend

Shields · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Dec · R5
Demian MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Ed Herman
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02

Herman · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Zak CummingsRating 4.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04
L · Dec · R3
Alonzo MenifieldRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane · 2021-08
W · Sub · R3
Mike RodriguezRating 5.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Waterson vs. Hill · 2020-09
W · Dec · R3
Khadis IbragimovRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · 2019-11
W · KO · R1
Patrick CumminsRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Lee · 2019-05

News & Media

Jake Shields · Ed Herman
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