METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Welterweight
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
London, United Kingdom
18 Mar 2023
Welterweight
VS
50%
Edwards
50%
Usman
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Leon EdwardswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Kamaru Usman · UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Edwards
→
Actual result
Edwards wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Edwards at 50% vs Usman at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Usman throws more volume but Edwards connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Edwards's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
EdwardsUsman
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Edwards
Usman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
74"
Reach
+76"
34+
Age
39
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
Edwards
Usman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.4
57.4
51.1
Performance Avg
61.2
36
Quality of Victory
46
95
Momentum Score
55
Edwards
Usman
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.1
56%
Strike Accuracy
54%
3.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.2
3 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
17
12
Body
3
7
Leg
0
RangeRange
20Distance13
8Clinch7
0Ground0
Edwards
Usman
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.1
1.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Edwards
Usman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
74
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R5.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
20/28 fights
Chin rating based on
19/25 fights
Edwards
Usman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
95
55
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R4
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · KO · R5
W · Dec · R5
Edwards
Usman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
31%
3
KO / TKO Wins
4
1
Submission Wins
1
10
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Edwards
Usman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.2
2.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.5
0.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.6
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
7.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.2
EdwardsUsman
Strike Zones
Edwards
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedUsman
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Edwards targets the body (43% of attacks) — Usman absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Usman targets the head (85% of attacks) — Edwards absorbs 85% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Edwards
RND
Usman
0/0R00/0
Edwards · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Usman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Edwards · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Carlos PratesRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 322: Della Maddalena vs. Makhachev · 2025-11
L · Sub · R4
Sean BradyRating 4.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
L · Dec · R5
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · Dec · R5
Kamaru UsmanRating 5.6Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Usman · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
L · Dec · R3
Khamzat ChimaevRating 7.4Decision
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10
L · Dec · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 6.6Decision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
L · KO · R5
Leon EdwardsRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards · 2022-08
W · Dec · R5
Colby CovingtonRating 5.8Decision
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11