METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
10%
Melendez
90%
Allen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Arnold AllenwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gilbert Melendez · UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Allen
→
Actual result
Allen wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Allen is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MelendezAllen
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Melendez
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Melendez
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.0
62.3
20.7
Performance Avg
52.8
25
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
100
Melendez
Allen
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.3
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
0.4
Style: Pressure
4.7
8.3
Style: Volume
6.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
0
Body
5
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
6Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Melendez
Allen
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Melendez
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/30 fights
Chin rating based on
16/25 fights
Melendez
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Melendez
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Melendez
Allen
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
0.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
MelendezAllen
Strike Zones
Melendez
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedAllen
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Melendez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Allen targets the head (50% of attacks) — Melendez absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Melendez
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0
Melendez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenDecision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensDecision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaDecision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Eddie AlvarezDecision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Anthony PettisSubmission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12
Allen · Last 5
Upcoming
Aaron PicoUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaDecision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevDecision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01