UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos
Las Vegas, USA
6 Jul 2019
Featherweight
VS
10%
Melendez
90%
Allen
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GM
Gilbert Melendez
"El Nino"
22 – 8
5'9"73" reachOrthodox44 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 7
Arnold
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
21 – 4
Well-Rounded32 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 62

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Allen

Allen is a strong favourite at 90% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 55 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Allen has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Melendez
Allen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
73"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Melendez
Allen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
7.0
62.3
20.7
Performance Avg
52.8
25
Quality of Victory
35
0
Momentum Score
100
Melendez
Allen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
1.1
30%
Strike Accuracy
48%
0.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
13
0
Body
5
0
Leg
8
RangeRange
6Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Melendez
Allen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.9
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
1.7
0
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Melendez
Allen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
94
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/30 fights
Chin rating based on
15/25 fights
Melendez
Allen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
100
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
Melendez
Allen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
33%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
8

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Melendez
Allen
Striking0.3 / 3.3Volume8.3 / 6.9Grappling2.4 / 2.9Wrestling1.7 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.7Pressure0.4 / 4.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.7
0.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.7
8.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.9
Melendez
Strike Zones
Allen
Melendez
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY8LEGS26 absorbed
Allen
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY8LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Melendez targets the head (100% of attacks) — Allen absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Allen targets the head (50% of attacks) — Melendez absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Melendez
RND
Allen
0/0R00/0

Melendez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L4.5W2.1L5.5L6.0L6.0L6.9L2013-042014-122016-072019-07
WinLossTrend

Allen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5W4.5W4.6W5.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.3W5.9W5.6W6.6L6.8L5.5W7.1L5.7W2015-062019-032022-032024-072026-05
WinLossTrend

Melendez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 239: Jones vs. Santos · 2019-07
L · Dec · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 6
Decision
UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · 2017-09
L · Dec · R3
Edson BarbozaRating 6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Holm vs. Shevchenko · 2016-07
L · Dec · R3
Eddie AlvarezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
L · Sub · R2
Anthony PettisRating 2.1
Submission
UFC 181: Hendricks vs Lawler II · 2014-12

Allen · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Melquizael CostaRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Jean SilvaRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Movsar EvloevRating 6.8
Decision
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · 2024-01
L · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Gilbert Melendez · Arnold Allen
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