★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Dillashaw
46%
Cruz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
TD
TJ Dillashaw
18 – 5
5'6"67" reachOrthodox40 yrsStriker
CFR 37
DC
Dominick Cruz
"The Dominator"
24 – 4
Well-Rounded41 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'8"
CFR 31

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Dillashaw

This is a genuine toss-up — Dillashaw at 54% vs Cruz at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Dillashaw has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Cruz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Dillashaw
Cruz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Cruz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
31.2
62.3
Performance Avg
50.3
56
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
100
Dillashaw
Cruz
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
28
7
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
32Distance30
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Cruz
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.5
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Cruz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
10/28 fights
Dillashaw
Cruz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Dillashaw
Cruz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
14%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Dillashaw
Cruz
Striking6.8 / 2.8Volume4.5 / 8.3Grappling1.5 / 2.1Wrestling1.1 / 1.4Submission0.8 / 0.0Pressure6.5 / 3.1
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Dillashaw
Strike Zones
Cruz
Dillashaw
Attacking
20HEAD7BODY6LEGS33 landed
Absorbing
28HEAD2BODY0LEGS30 absorbed
Cruz
Attacking
28HEAD2BODY0LEGS30 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD7BODY6LEGS33 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (61% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Cruz targets the head (93% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Dillashaw
RND
Cruz
0/0R00/0

Dillashaw · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0101.5L4.5W5.0W5.2W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.5W5.5W5.4W5.5L4.5W4.5W6.2W6.1W3.0L6.0W3.1L2011-122013-102016-012019-012022-10
WinLossTrend

Cruz · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0104.5W4.5W5.0W4.6W4.5W6.6L3.6L4.5W5.0W4.2L2011-072016-012020-052022-08
WinLossTrend

Dillashaw · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1
KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1
KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11

Cruz · Last 5

L · KO · R4
Marlon VeraRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5
Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

News & Media

TJ Dillashaw · Dominick Cruz
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