METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Dillashaw
46%
Cruz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dominick CruzwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. TJ Dillashaw · UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dillashaw
→
Actual result
Cruz wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dillashaw at 54% vs Cruz at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cruz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DillashawCruz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dillashaw
Cruz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Cruz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
31.2
62.3
Performance Avg
50.3
56
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
100
Dillashaw
Cruz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.8
/ 10
2.8
/ 10
6.5
Style: Pressure
3.1
4.5
Style: Volume
8.3
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
28
7
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
32Distance30
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Cruz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Cruz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
10/28 fights
Dillashaw
Cruz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Dillashaw
Cruz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
14%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Cruz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
DillashawCruz
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedCruz
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (61% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Cruz targets the head (93% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Cruz
0/0R00/0
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingKO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtKO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Cruz · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Marlon VeraKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozDecision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyDecision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoKO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Cody GarbrandtDecision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12