METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Bantamweight
UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Boston, USA
17 Jan 2016
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Dillashaw
46%
Cruz
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Dominick CruzwinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. TJ Dillashaw · UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Dillashaw
→
Actual result
Cruz wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Dillashaw at 54% vs Cruz at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Dillashaw has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.
Dillashaw has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Dillashaw's chin rating of 30 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Cruz has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DillashawCruz
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Dillashaw
Cruz
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'8"
67"
Reach
+68"
40+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Dillashaw
Cruz
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.6
31.2
62.3
Performance Avg
50.3
56
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
100
Dillashaw
Cruz
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
1.1
45%
Strike Accuracy
39%
6.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
28
7
Body
2
6
Leg
0
RangeRange
32Distance30
1Clinch0
0Ground0
Dillashaw
Cruz
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
/ 10
2.1
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.4
0.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dillashaw
Cruz
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
30
54
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/23 fights
Chin rating based on
10/28 fights
Dillashaw
Cruz
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R4
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Dillashaw
Cruz
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
62%
14%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
1
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dillashaw
Cruz
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.8
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.1
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.4
0.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.1
4.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
DillashawCruz
Strike Zones
Dillashaw
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedCruz
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dillashaw targets the head (61% of attacks) — Cruz absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Cruz targets the head (93% of attacks) — Dillashaw absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dillashaw
RND
Cruz
0/0R00/0
Dillashaw · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.8WinLossTrend
Cruz · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Dillashaw · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Aljamain SterlingRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Dillashaw · 2021-07
L · KO · R1
Henry CejudoRating 3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · 2019-01
W · KO · R1
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.1KO/TKO
UFC 227: Dillashaw vs. Garbrandt 2 · 2018-08
W · KO · R2
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.2KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
Cruz · Last 5
L · KO · R4
Marlon VeraRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz · 2022-08
W · Dec · R3
Pedro MunhozRating 5Decision
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
W · Dec · R3
Casey KenneyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya · 2021-03
L · KO · R2
Henry CejudoRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R5
Cody GarbrandtRating 6.6Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12