UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker
Doha, Qatar
22 Nov 2025
Welterweight
VS
84%
Dalby
16%
Izagakhmaev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Dalby
Dalby is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 34 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Dalby has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 29 points.
Striking split: Dalby throws more volume but Izagakhmaev connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Dalby
Izagakhmaev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
74"
Reach
74"
41
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
—
Dalby
Izagakhmaev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.4
7.8
41.9
Performance Avg
0.0
29
Quality of Victory
0
45
Momentum Score
0
Dalby
Izagakhmaev
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.9
0.7
48%
Strike Accuracy
61%
2.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
11
Head
8
7
Body
3
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
8Distance7
10Clinch4
0Ground0
Dalby
Izagakhmaev
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.1
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Dalby
Izagakhmaev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
70
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/30 fights
Chin rating based on
1/25 fights
Dalby
Izagakhmaev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
0
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dalby
Izagakhmaev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
13%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Dalby
Izagakhmaev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
2.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
DalbyIzagakhmaev
Strike Zones
Dalby
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
11 absorbedIzagakhmaev
Attacking
11 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Dalby targets the head (61% of attacks) — Izagakhmaev absorbs 61% of strikes there
🎯Izagakhmaev targets the head (73% of attacks) — Dalby absorbs 73% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Dalby
RND
Izagakhmaev
0/0R00/0
Dalby · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.3WinLossTrend
Dalby · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Saygid IzagakhmaevRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
L · KO · R2
Randy BrownRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04
L · Dec · R3
Rinat FakhretdinovRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R2
Gabriel BonfimRating 7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Muslim SalikhovRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier · 2023-06
Izagakhmaev · Last 1
L · Dec · R3
Nicolas DalbyRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11

