UFC Fight Night: Swick vs Burkman
Las Vegas, USA
23 Jan 2008
Lightweight
VS
72%
Stephens
28%
Miller
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stephens
Stephens is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stephens has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Stephens's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Miller has a chin rating of 42 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Stephens
Miller
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'1"
71"
Reach
+73"
40+
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Stephens
Miller
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
45.0
17.6
41.1
Performance Avg
49.0
40
Quality of Victory
47
76
Momentum Score
49
Stephens
Miller
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
1.1
42%
Strike Accuracy
31%
5.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.0
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
0
2
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance0
0Clinch0
18Ground0
Stephens
Miller
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
6.1
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Stephens
Miller
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
42
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
2
4
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
14 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
36/52 fights
Chin rating based on
20/32 fights
Stephens
Miller
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
76
49
7-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Stephens
Miller
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
47%
80%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
7
8
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Stephens
Miller
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.0
1.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
7.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.2
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.6
StephensMiller
Strike Zones
Stephens
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedMiller
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Stephens targets the head (87% of attacks) — Miller absorbs 87% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Stephens
RND
Miller
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Miller · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.0WinLossTrend
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2Submission
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Calvin KattarRating 3.2KO/TKO
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UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
Miller · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Mizuto HirotaRating 5.5Decision
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L · Dec · R3
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Upcoming
Jim AlersUFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R2
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