METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
London, United Kingdom
22 Jul 2023
Lightweight
VS
48%
Herbert
52%
Ziam
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Fares ZiamwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jai Herbert · UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Ziam
→
Actual result
Ziam wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Herbert at 48% vs Ziam at 52% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Herbert has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Risk flags
Herbert's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ziam has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HerbertZiam
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Herbert
Ziam
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
6'1"
77"+
Reach
75"
38
Age
+29
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Herbert
Ziam
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.6
53.3
43.3
Performance Avg
45.8
43
Quality of Victory
32
74
Momentum Score
91
Herbert
Ziam
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.9
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
3.8
4.9
Style: Volume
7.3
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
9
6
Body
5
10
Leg
7
RangeRange
17Distance18
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Herbert
Ziam
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
1.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Herbert
Ziam
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
10/20 fights
Chin rating based on
12/22 fights
Herbert
Ziam
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
91
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Herbert
Ziam
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
25%
2
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
6
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Herbert
Ziam
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.8
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.3
HerbertZiam
Strike Zones
Herbert
Attacking
20 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedZiam
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
20 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Herbert targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Ziam absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Ziam targets the head (43% of attacks) — Herbert absorbs 43% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Herbert
RND
Ziam
0/0R00/0
Herbert · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Mandel NalloKO/TKO
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Rolando BedoyaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Dec · R3
Fares ZiamDecision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07
Upcoming
Ludovit KleinDecision
UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3 · 2023-03
Ziam · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Axel SolaKO/TKO
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L · Dec · R3
Tom NolanDecision
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W · KO · R2
Nazim SadykhovKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · Dec · R3
Mike DavisDecision
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W · KO · R3
Matt FrevolaKO/TKO
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