UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Miami, USA
11 Apr 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Reyes
48%
Walker
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Dominick
Dominick Reyes
"The Devastator"
16 – 5
6'4"77" reachSouthpaw36 yrsStriker
CFR 56
Johnny
Johnny Walker
22 – 10
Knockout Artist34 yrsOrthodox82" reach6'6"
CFR 50

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Reyes

This is a genuine toss-up — Reyes at 52% vs Walker at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Reyes throws more volume but Walker connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Reyes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Walker has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Reyes
Walker
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"
Height
+6'6"
77"
Reach
+82"
36
Age
+34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Reyes
Walker
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
55.7
50.4
56.3
Performance Avg
54.6
49
Quality of Victory
56
71
Momentum Score
41
Reyes
Walker
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.0
55%
Strike Accuracy
59%
7.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.6
6 KOs
KO Finishes
6 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
2
2
Body
3
12
Leg
7
RangeRange
15Distance12
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Reyes
Walker
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.3
1.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.9
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Reyes
Walker
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
6
3 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/21 fights
Chin rating based on
16/32 fights
Reyes
Walker
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
41
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Upcoming
Reyes
Walker
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
70%
88%
6
KO / TKO Wins
6
1
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Reyes
Walker
Striking7.3 / 8.6Volume3.7 / 2.1Grappling1.5 / 1.3Wrestling1.1 / 0.9Submission1.0 / 1.3Pressure6.9 / 7.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.6
1.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.3
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.9
1.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
6.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.7
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.1
Reyes
Strike Zones
Walker
Reyes
Attacking
1HEAD2BODY12LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
2HEAD3BODY7LEGS12 absorbed
Walker
Attacking
2HEAD3BODY7LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD2BODY12LEGS15 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Reyes targets the legs (80% of attacks) — Walker absorbs 80% of strikes there
🎯Walker targets the legs (58% of attacks) — Reyes absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Reyes
RND
Walker
0/0R00/0

Reyes · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.0W6.0W5.1W5.3W5.8W7.3L2.7L3.8L1.9L6.4W6.4W6.2W3.4L5.3W2017-062019-032021-052025-042026-04
WinLossTrend

Walker · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.9W5.0W5.0W1.5L6.7L5.4W5.5L2.8L5.3W5.7W5.7W3.7L2.3L7.2W6.5L2018-112020-032022-092024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Reyes · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Johnny WalkerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Carlos UlbergRating 3.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · 2025-09
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
W · KO · R2
Anthony SmithRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · KO · R1
Dustin JacobyRating 6.4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06

Walker · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dominick ReyesRating 6.5
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
W · KO · R2
Zhang MingyangRating 7.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · KO · R1
Volkan OezdemirRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Magomed AnkalaevRating 3.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
Upcoming
Magomed Ankalaev
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

News & Media

Dominick Reyes · Johnny Walker
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