UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori
Las Vegas, USA
5 Dec 2020
Heavyweight
VS
43%
Villante
57%
Collier
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
GV
Gian Villante
17 – 14
6'3"76" reachOrthodox40 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 20
JC
Jake Collier
"The Prototype"
13 – 10
Well-Rounded4-fight slide37 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 27

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Collier

This is a genuine toss-up — Villante at 43% vs Collier at 57% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Collier has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Villante's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Collier has a chin rating of 2 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Villante
Collier
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+78"
40
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Villante
Collier
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.4
26.7
40.8
Performance Avg
36.4
42
Quality of Victory
37
33
Momentum Score
45
Villante
Collier
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.4
1.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
43%
6.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
4 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
26
1
Body
6
2
Leg
4
RangeRange
22Distance35
1Clinch1
0Ground0
Villante
Collier
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.0
0.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Villante
Collier
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
2
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
18/31 fights
Chin rating based on
14/23 fights
Villante
Collier
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
45
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Villante
Collier
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
40%
4
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Villante
Collier
Striking6.5 / 2.7Volume4.2 / 5.5Grappling1.0 / 3.0Wrestling0.7 / 2.1Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure5.2 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
0.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.5
Villante
Strike Zones
Collier
Villante
Attacking
20HEAD1BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
26HEAD6BODY4LEGS36 absorbed
Collier
Attacking
26HEAD6BODY4LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
20HEAD1BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Villante targets the head (87% of attacks) — Collier absorbs 87% of strikes there
🎯Collier targets the head (72% of attacks) — Villante absorbs 72% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Villante
RND
Collier
0/0R00/0

Villante · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0106.1L5.2W5.5L4.5W5.5W2.8L5.0W5.5L5.2W4.0L5.5L4.5W5.5L4.7W2.5L4.0L5.5L3.8L2013-042015-072017-072020-062021-11
WinLossTrend

Collier · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W2.8L5.2W5.5L4.5W3.9L4.5W5.5L5.0W6.2L3.8L6.5L6.5L2014-122017-042021-062023-042023-09
WinLossTrend

Villante · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · 2021-11
L · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Vettori · 2020-12
L · Sub · R3
Maurice GreeneRating 4
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Hooker · 2020-06
L · KO · R1
Michal OleksiejczukRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Santos · 2019-02
W · Dec · R3
Ed HermanRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10

Collier · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · 2023-04
L · KO · R2
Chris BarnettRating 3.8
KO/TKO
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson · 2022-09
L · Dec · R3
Andrei ArlovskiRating 6.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
W · Sub · R1
Chase ShermanRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01

News & Media

Gian Villante · Jake Collier
← Back to fights