UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili
Las Vegas, USA
11 Mar 2023
Bantamweight
VS
61%
Henry
39%
Gravely
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Victor
Victor Henry
"La Mangosta"
25 – 7
5'7"68" reachSwitch39 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 53
TG
Tony Gravely
23 – 9
Well-Rounded2-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'5"
CFR 33

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Henry

Henry holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Gravely has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gravely has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 10 points.

Henry has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gravely has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Henry
Gravely
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'5"
68"
Reach
+69"
39
Age
+34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Henry
Gravely
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.9
33.2
45.4
Performance Avg
44.8
31
Quality of Victory
41
81
Momentum Score
35
Henry
Gravely
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.0
1.3
55%
Strike Accuracy
44%
3.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
39
Head
21
13
Body
13
2
Leg
2
RangeRange
35Distance23
19Clinch9
0Ground4
Henry
Gravely
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.2
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Henry
Gravely
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
4 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/32 fights
Chin rating based on
8/32 fights
Henry
Gravely
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
81
35
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Henry
Gravely
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
50%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Henry
Gravely
Striking3.8 / 6.0Volume7.3 / 5.0Grappling1.8 / 1.2Wrestling1.3 / 0.8Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.8 / 5.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.0
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
7.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
Henry
Strike Zones
Gravely
Henry
Attacking
39HEAD13BODY2LEGS54 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD13BODY2LEGS36 absorbed
Gravely
Attacking
21HEAD13BODY2LEGS36 landed
Absorbing
39HEAD13BODY2LEGS54 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Henry targets the head (72% of attacks) — Gravely absorbs 72% of strikes there
🎯Gravely targets the head (58% of attacks) — Henry absorbs 58% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Henry
RND
Gravely
0/0R00/0

Henry · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.3W5.5L4.5W5.9W3.5L4.5W2022-012022-102023-032024-042024-112025-04
WinLossTrend

Gravely · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.0L4.5W5.2W3.9L4.5W5.0W5.9L6.4L2020-012021-042022-012022-092023-03
WinLossTrend

Henry · Last 5

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Decision
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L · Sub · R2
Charles JourdainRating 3.5
Submission
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Rani YahyaRating 5.9
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UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10

Gravely · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Victor HenryRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalishvili · 2023-03
L · Dec · R3
Javid BasharatRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Song · 2022-09
W · KO · R1
Johnny MunozRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Rozenstruik · 2022-06
W · Dec · R3
Saimon OliveiraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01
L · KO · R2
Nate ManessRating 3.9
KO/TKO
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News & Media

Victor Henry · Tony Gravely
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